Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0880444a899f3e3e3b8aeb51e6cce1501a5c6bf6bfb3754202965bb526e2da6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed GamerLegion | 20c | 17,413$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked GamerLegion | 11c | 10,464$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.16 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Aurora | 79c | 7,418$5,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.49 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed GamerLegion | 21c | 5,120$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.31 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed GamerLegion | 21c | 3,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked GamerLegion | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 79c | 1,531$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.76 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked GamerLegion | 23c | 1,386$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.66 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 77c | 1,363$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.09 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Aurora | 74c | 1,308$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 78c | 1,250$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…0ddabacked Aurora | 78c | 1,200$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed GamerLegion | 20c | 1,193$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.75 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Aurora | 78c | 1,167$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.69 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aurora | 79c | 1,131$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.29 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Aurora | 74c | 1,120$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.69 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed GamerLegion | 2c | 1,032$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Aurora | 77c | 1,023$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.39 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aurora | 77c | 1,008$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.42 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked GamerLegion | 9c | 999.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…480cbacked GamerLegion | 26c | 934.77$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked GamerLegion | 26c | 930$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.37 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Aurora | 74c | 828.12$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked GamerLegion | 24c | 795.2$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.54 | 243 | 43.6%106 W · 137 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…b0a6backed GamerLegion | 21c | 739$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed GamerLegion | 21c | 727$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.67 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…60babacked Aurora | 76c | 724.84$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.84 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Aurora | 73c | 684.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.95 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Aurora | 75c | 684.05$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.74 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Aurora | 79c | 631.01$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.51 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x052c…4793backed GamerLegion | 26c | 620.04$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed GamerLegion | 19c | 612.41$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.48 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Aurora | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked GamerLegion | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Aurora | 74c | 584.8$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.05 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed GamerLegion | 21c | 567.67$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.21 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Aurora | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed GamerLegion | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed GamerLegion | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Aurora | 73c | 499.99$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked GamerLegion | 23c | 460$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed GamerLegion | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked GamerLegion | 14c | 425.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Aurora | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked GamerLegion | 31c | 401.39$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.87 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Aurora | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed GamerLegion | 26c | 384.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…7111backed Aurora | 79c | 366.73$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.01 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Aurora | 78c | 363.85$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Aurora | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Aurora | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed GamerLegion | 8c | 299$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked GamerLegion | 33c | 277.8$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed GamerLegion | 21c | 250$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Aurora | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed GamerLegion | 19c | 220$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Aurora | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae16…7111backed GamerLegion | 21c | 190$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked GamerLegion | 16c | 189.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -14.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Aurora | 78c | 184.34$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Aurora | 74c | 181$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed GamerLegion | 21c | 180$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GamerLegion | 35c | 169.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…59acbacked GamerLegion | 17c | 158$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked GamerLegion | 26c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Aurora | 79c | 139.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d989backed Aurora | 71c | 136.76$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed GamerLegion | 21c | 130$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aurora | 67c | 120$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed GamerLegion | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked GamerLegion | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Aurora | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Aurora | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Aurora | 78c | 93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Aurora | 78c | 76.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed GamerLegion | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Aurora | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Aurora | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 240 | 26.7%64 W · 176 L | -30.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Aurora | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora | 74c | 45.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Aurora | 73c | 38.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…ec81backed Aurora | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 120 | 73.3%88 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Aurora | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Aurora | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…736bbacked Aurora | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 73 | 75.3%55 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…f078backed Aurora | 66c | 26.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Aurora | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8699…ab5cbacked Aurora | 78c | 20.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Aurora | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1153…868bbacked Aurora | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 313 | 57.2%179 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Aurora | 78c | 19.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Aurora | 74c | 15.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Aurora | 80c | 15.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab1b…fc42backed Aurora | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Aurora | 78c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)Aurora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.