CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1f278e41e4a75dc01b9f1c48700de3c025a0b05053686e4a6a1c0bd1529cbac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $395,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $479,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Spirit | 51c | 21,778$11,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,106.73 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed FURIA | 46c | 15,555$7,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.68 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed FURIA | 49c | 13,894$6,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,107.79 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spirit | 39c | 11,572$4,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,528.07 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Spirit | 41c | 10,550$4,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,344.41 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked FURIA | 48c | 10,291$4,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,339.54 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Spirit | 54c | 9,812$5,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,270.91 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked FURIA | 55c | 6,582$3,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed FURIA | 47c | 6,512$3,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,427.72 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Spirit | 45c | 5,639$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.59 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d3…1536backed Spirit | 54c | 5,082$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Spirit | 22c | 5,001$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.31 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Spirit | 52c | 4,488$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.08 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Spirit | 25c | 4,087$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.89 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA | 77c | 4,037$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.81 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Spirit | 53c | 3,734$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.92 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spirit | 26c | 3,579$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.51 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Spirit | 19c | 3,494$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.86 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked FURIA | 48c | 3,353$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.97 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed FURIA | 45c | 3,019$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.55 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked FURIA | 79c | 2,667$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Spirit | 32c | 2,500$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.48 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Spirit | 25c | 2,451$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.37 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FURIA | 79c | 2,330$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.04 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked FURIA | 65c | 2,302$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.61 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit | 34c | 2,251$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.11 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked FURIA | 65c | 2,133$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.61 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed FURIA | 46c | 2,071$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.57 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Spirit | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.97 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed FURIA | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…3126backed Spirit | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…08fdbacked Spirit | 54c | 1,821$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.36 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Spirit | 14c | 1,719$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.47 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Spirit | 53c | 1,688$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.76 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…0b3ebacked FURIA | 59c | 1,680$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…bde0backed FURIA | 69c | 1,650$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.5 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Spirit | 14c | 1,645$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.71 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Spirit | 54c | 1,634$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.83 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Spirit | 55c | 1,580$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Spirit | 25c | 1,556$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.37 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed FURIA | 58c | 1,493$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.73 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Spirit | 53c | 1,444$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.24 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Spirit | 29c | 1,324$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.69 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed FURIA | 79c | 1,262$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.95 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Spirit | 17c | 1,110$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +16.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked FURIA | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…b0cabacked FURIA | 47c | 1,055$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.69 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x890b…97bebacked Spirit | 52c | 1,048$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FURIA | 71c | 1,046$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.49 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed FURIA | 55c | 1,030$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.4 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed FURIA | 47c | 1,021$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.16 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…039bbacked FURIA | 48c | 1,001$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.99 | 118 | 71.2%84 W · 34 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Spirit | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Spirit | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Spirit | 13c | 999.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed FURIA | 79c | 970.63$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.68 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Spirit | 38c | 966.4$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.54 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed FURIA | 50c | 950$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked FURIA | 50c | 941.15$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.58 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Spirit | 53c | 934.76$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked FURIA | 46c | 933.19$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.92 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +14.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked FURIA | 58c | 931$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.27 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Spirit | 54c | 929.41$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FURIA | 76c | 907.47$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.21 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Spirit | 52c | 888$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.32 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Spirit | 34c | 871.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FURIA | 60c | 866.82$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.88 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed FURIA | 77c | 844$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked FURIA | 49c | 831.02$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.82 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…c29ebacked Spirit | 26c | 782.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 281 | 43.8%123 W · 158 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Spirit | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked FURIA | 47c | 750$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed FURIA | 75c | 750$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed FURIA | 48c | 749.98$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 55c | 745.47$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.4 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…f476backed Spirit | 21c | 743.96$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.77 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Spirit | 55c | 722.12$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.15 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Spirit | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Spirit | 47c | 653.68$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.62 | 184 | 42.9%79 W · 105 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Spirit | 46c | 644.53$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed FURIA | 64c | 641.75$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.04 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Spirit | 54c | 627.91$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.07 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked FURIA | 49c | 613$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.93 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Spirit | 11c | 608.74$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Spirit | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Spirit | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked FURIA | 47c | 591.49$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.49 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…d554backed FURIA | 78c | 584.17$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.17 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Spirit | 52c | 573.99$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.47 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Spirit | 27c | 554.43$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.96 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spirit | 19c | 550.61$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed FURIA | 69c | 547.66$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.77 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spirit | 30c | 521.48$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.56 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Spirit | 14c | 511$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f12…03b6backed Spirit | 19c | 509.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Spirit | 34c | 501.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.43 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FURIA | 62c | 500.38$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.68 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked FURIA | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Spirit | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked FURIA | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Odd won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.