TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof FURIA, Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$215,790
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$279,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,790 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Spirit60c9,999$5,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,999.5933343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Spirit62c6,000$3,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30425555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed FURIA40c5,947$2,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.510739.3%42 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spirit76c5,575$4,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.291,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FURIA22c5,137$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.263,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Spirit61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95043640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed FURIA22c4,947$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.223354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FURIA14c4,558$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.84,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd4…9bcdbacked Spirit80c4,262$3,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.3615069.3%104 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Spirit73c4,029$2,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.1544957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed FURIA20c3,001$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.246225.8%16 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked Spirit74c2,758$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.8431647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed FURIA39c2,604$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0194427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked FURIA10c2,588$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.813,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed FURIA17c2,360$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.26243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked FURIA25c2,307$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.8421424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked FURIA15c2,274$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3508138.3%31 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked FURIA10c2,117$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22052837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked FURIA38c1,951$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74932542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed FURIA35c1,909$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.6932732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed FURIA32c1,773$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.9535839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FURIA26c1,741$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4441,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed FURIA2c1,686$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7181843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked FURIA40c1,545$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61315838%60 W · 98 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked FURIA17c1,503$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.042,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed FURIA40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010333%34 W · 69 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed FURIA38c1,450$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55161034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed FURIA19c1,429$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.2455043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FURIA21c1,350$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.121,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Spirit75c1,337$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.2611253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked FURIA38c1,293$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.2540140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Spirit63c1,259$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.7365650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked FURIA20c1,151$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.8352834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FURIA17c1,054$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.321,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9d…f409backed FURIA25c1,047$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.642944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Spirit63c1,000$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.091,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed FURIA38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38042651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed FURIA19c999.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19033452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed FURIA20c992.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked FURIA37c966.79$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.9155843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed FURIA16c942.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15034848.3%168 W · 180 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed FURIA38c906.37$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.3653444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Spirit62c889.34$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.952832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-39.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1fef…b2b5backed FURIA22c879.03$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.755450%27 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FURIA17c854.39$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.175,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FURIA26c853.56$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.484,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Spirit59c842.54$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.5653746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FURIA32c804.88$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.7687047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked FURIA29c800$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2327436.5%27 W · 47 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-39.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed FURIA19c800$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed FURIA26c795.38$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.814151.8%73 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked FURIA19c777.35$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.792,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked FURIA40c758.97$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.515637.2%58 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked FURIA39c750$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.4624538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked FURIA38c741$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.5819540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7e3…22cbbacked FURIA40c728.8$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.523438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed Spirit76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8915970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9345…0afbbacked Spirit62c623.79$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.0415363.4%97 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA37c620$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.911,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0311…f80ebacked FURIA8c572.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4818126.5%48 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa066…d240backed FURIA3c571.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204219%8 W · 34 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+232.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit60c562.1$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.255,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed FURIA36c554.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7938650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked FURIA17c526.96$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0415646.8%73 W · 83 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked FURIA19c518.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked FURIA18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9019857.6%114 W · 84 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FURIA20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Spirit59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20514650.7%74 W · 72 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Spirit71c499.99$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14528453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed FURIA10c495.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8941…3126backed FURIA23c485.7$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015132.5%49 W · 102 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Spirit62c481.93$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9339847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FURIA19c481.79$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.314,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Spirit78c477.25$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.261,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed FURIA30c476.96$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9810133.7%34 W · 67 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Spirit63c459.02$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.8915053.3%80 W · 70 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed FURIA27c452.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3146345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed FURIA19c440$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.31,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f9…123dbacked Spirit62c401.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.673473.5%25 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb845…ca23backed FURIA12c375$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf33c…0f39backed FURIA14c371.43$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed FURIA15c366.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0365546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaed5…981dbacked FURIA39c356.41$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13910451.9%54 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4425…0d21backed FURIA4c350$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1370%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Spirit64c336.51$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.91,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda00…5c4dbacked FURIA30c335.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked FURIA6c327.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.081,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6117…2fafbacked Spirit79c301.86$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.399856.1%55 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6281…e326backed FURIA29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879940.4%40 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Spirit60c300$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11923653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked FURIA5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521519.1%41 W · 174 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed Spirit80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6011265.2%73 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed FURIA10c299.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012651.6%65 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed FURIA12c299.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3641645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ff…6431backed Spirit77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7423165.8%152 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe2b…20e4backed Spirit75c250$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639635.4%34 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Spirit77c250$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.520462.7%128 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed FURIA19c249.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.532136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fb…b170backed FURIA40c246.15$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4611442.1%48 W · 66 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.