CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8dd24bc9fa30c24ba750dbbef30ce4bc8959763a128130866c551d7894ade78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof FURIA, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,453,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,719,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,453,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,058 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked FURIA | 45c | 158,199$71,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,745.78 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Spirit | 60c | 63,953$38,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,495.33 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Spirit | 57c | 50,794$29,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,624.01 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked FURIA | 41c | 50,000$20,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,499.91 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked FURIA | 42c | 48,262$20,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,277.02 | 757 | 58.3%441 W · 316 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Spirit | 57c | 39,825$22,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,987.69 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked FURIA | 42c | 38,000$15,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,959.97 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e0…4746backed FURIA | 31c | 31,813$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed FURIA | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spirit | 63c | 25,503$16,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,455.52 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…80a3backed FURIA | 43c | 23,296$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.71 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…366dbacked Spirit | 65c | 23,264$15,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,045.69 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Spirit | 60c | 22,222$13,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,888.8 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked FURIA | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Spirit | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.98 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed FURIA | 42c | 20,000$8,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,306.28 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Spirit | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.88 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1626…9e8dbacked FURIA | 0c | 17,980$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed FURIA | 41c | 17,241$7,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,068.61 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Spirit | 59c | 16,788$9,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,883.2 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Spirit | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300.13 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Spirit | 48c | 15,000$7,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,829.97 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Spirit | 60c | 13,577$8,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,480.8 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed FURIA | 39c | 13,055$5,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,155.43 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Spirit | 58c | 12,931$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,431.03 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…f3c7backed Spirit | 60c | 12,794$7,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075.24 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked FURIA | 40c | 11,884$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Spirit | 53c | 11,606$6,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,454.91 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed FURIA | 42c | 11,375$4,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,791.33 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…29a5backed FURIA | 67c | 11,249$7,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,536.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…23adbacked Spirit | 59c | 10,264$6,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,208.27 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Spirit | 54c | 10,250$5,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,712.5 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked Spirit | 59c | 10,124$6,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100.23 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Spirit | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed Spirit | 73c | 9,604$7,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.46 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked FURIA | 46c | 8,475$3,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,898.49 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…7336backed Spirit | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 60c | 7,985$4,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.63 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FURIA | 39c | 7,813$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.98 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed FURIA | 48c | 7,507$3,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,604.34 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FURIA | 47c | 7,427$3,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,489.05 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked FURIA | 41c | 7,375$3,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051.88 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Spirit | 56c | 7,222$4,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,173.3 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked FURIA | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…6e31backed FURIA | 57c | 6,523$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe4…66b3backed Spirit | 58c | 5,812$3,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FURIA | 46c | 5,679$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.17 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Spirit | 58c | 5,557$3,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.79 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Spirit | 56c | 5,234$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.97 | 846 | 58.4%494 W · 352 L | +60.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FURIA | 52c | 5,055$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.73 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Spirit | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.97 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65f…4493backed FURIA | 40c | 4,952$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Spirit | 33c | 4,779$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.81 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Spirit | 54c | 4,776$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.97 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed FURIA | 37c | 4,750$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spirit | 57c | 4,697$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.97 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit | 59c | 4,663$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.5 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…86b0backed FURIA | 42c | 4,604$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +48%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Spirit | 45c | 4,577$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.97 | 373 | 46.4%173 W · 200 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Spirit | 57c | 4,474$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.68 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Spirit | 55c | 4,455$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.55 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…b0cabacked FURIA | 23c | 4,420$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…750ebacked FURIA | 47c | 4,193$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed Spirit | 54c | 4,146$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.16 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed FURIA | 22c | 4,050$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…d916backed FURIA | 32c | 3,847$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.56 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Spirit | 55c | 3,750$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.5 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Spirit | 55c | 3,719$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.1 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Spirit | 45c | 3,715$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.15 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed FURIA | 61c | 3,581$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.53 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…df6fbacked FURIA | 37c | 3,339$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdba…94d2backed FURIA | 28c | 3,306$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed FURIA | 23c | 3,247$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.36 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Spirit | 58c | 3,073$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.59 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed FURIA | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed FURIA | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Spirit | 52c | 2,995$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.94 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked FURIA | 55c | 2,970$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.18 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…f6b9backed FURIA | 48c | 2,946$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed FURIA | 27c | 2,927$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked FURIA | 38c | 2,880$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.52 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Spirit | 71c | 2,712$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.62 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked FURIA | 45c | 2,703$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2f…1f1dbacked Spirit | 61c | 2,677$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…f444backed Spirit | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit | 50c | 2,627$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.14 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Spirit | 52c | 2,562$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.92 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed FURIA | 45c | 2,539$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.55 | 1,083 | 54.2%587 W · 496 L | +39.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit | 51c | 2,529$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.46 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked FURIA | 31c | 2,450$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769 | 200 | 41.5%83 W · 117 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec8…e91abacked FURIA | 30c | 2,406$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.31 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Spirit | 67c | 2,392$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.42 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Spirit | 77c | 2,350$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.41 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FURIA | 47c | 2,286$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.03 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Spirit | 20c | 2,270$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.69 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Spirit | 63c | 2,228$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.36 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FURIA | 48c | 2,220$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.16 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked FURIA | 42c | 2,200$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Spirit | 60c | 2,167$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.67 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked Spirit | 59c | 2,159$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Odd won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.