CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b6e1d4bd9b17d790f110e66fe33c9b6dd14da2c47d02a8b4047f9c0d38741ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Over | 50c | 2,948$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.47 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 64c | 2,703$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.48 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…750ebacked Under | 32c | 1,548$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 1,149$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.55 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 1,010$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.46 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 699.04$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.09 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Over | 57c | 669.49$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.88 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 31c | 666.91$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.59 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 31c | 616$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.11 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 52c | 554.95$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.57 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0695…b260backed Under | 53c | 543.91$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 52c | 520.93$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.88 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…f3c7backed Under | 54c | 510$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 55c | 500.1$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.06 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 64c | 338.31$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.78 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Under | 53c | 337.74$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 31c | 302.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 51c | 300$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Over | 74c | 270.85$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.86 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 48c | 257.34$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.81 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Under | 51c | 245.19$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.05 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 235$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 49c | 233.5$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.08 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 50c | 229.08$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.19 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed Over | 49c | 227.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.63 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…6529backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 48c | 153.19$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 22c | 134$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 61c | 128.79$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 55c | 109.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c3…90fcbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 53c | 95.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 46c | 94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Over | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 27c | 86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…6f9fbacked Under | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 57c | 79.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 52c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 64c | 75.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 51c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 25c | 73.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 49c | 63.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 73c | 61.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4659…4da9backed Under | 25c | 58.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…0ef5backed Over | 49c | 51.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…dce4backed Over | 48c | 46.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Under | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Under | 31c | 42.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Under | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…8182backed Over | 50c | 41.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Over | 48c | 36.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb391…49e7backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under | 53c | 24.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Under | 53c | 18.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 63c | 16.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Odd won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.