TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof Spirit, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,046

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,366 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked FURIA55c12,571$6,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,656.243,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98fc…6e31backed Spirit48c5,530$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.851936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Spirit34c3,618$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.9935236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed Spirit47c2,489$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.1312259.8%73 W · 49 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked Spirit41c1,785$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.4117540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked FURIA53c1,551$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.672,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed FURIA67c1,429$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.2398856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked FURIA57c1,414$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.596464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Spirit54c1,406$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75227552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Spirit36c1,363$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.174734%16 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed FURIA67c1,338$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.5546243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Spirit54c1,269$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.8629858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Spirit34c750$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.555845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed FURIA67c740$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.217460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c27…cb5bbacked FURIA68c737$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.844374.4%32 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed FURIA68c735.98$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5120958.9%123 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Spirit54c715.11$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.8639157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed FURIA77c610.49$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.531,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Spirit33c527.27$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.6919030.5%58 W · 132 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2add…a167backed Spirit40c504$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.092729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit32c476.61$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.255,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa11…e3c0backed Spirit35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed FURIA68c400.07$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.0721263.7%135 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c4c…f869backed FURIA68c399.99$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12812053.3%64 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xae90…9a56backed Spirit44c373.62$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.568740.2%35 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed FURIA65c343.98$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.318246.3%38 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…5c4cbacked FURIA59c339.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0913350.4%67 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc586…9b02backed Spirit39c330.26$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Spirit32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Spirit32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Spirit39c305.4$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.111,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e83…a620backed Spirit33c302.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Spirit31c289.29$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4138848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed FURIA68c250.15$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8433354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Spirit35c243.58$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2679951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked FURIA67c223.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8865662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed FURIA68c220$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6650947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebe…5d9bbacked Spirit35c210$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.515856.3%89 W · 69 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Spirit31c202.9$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.918846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Spirit37c183.85$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5942845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Spirit49c166$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0537149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x542a…0312backed Spirit33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010232.4%33 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Spirit34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5148845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9235…3fbdbacked FURIA69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.934259.5%25 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick71cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed FURIA69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9360358.5%353 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed FURIA59c113.68$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2911259.8%67 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Spirit35c113.02$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.12,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x6ddd…1fc8backed FURIA67c103.12$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.039557.9%55 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65c5…2862backed FURIA69c101.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.459046.7%42 W · 48 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x52c5…5878backed Spirit32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3214346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Spirit32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3234742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Spirit31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3158254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed Spirit31c99.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3129153.6%156 W · 135 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Spirit32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012642.9%54 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Spirit31c90.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.212,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa272…797abacked Spirit44c88.64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked FURIA69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9648566.2%321 W · 164 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed FURIA66c83.91$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5399148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc313…6645backed Spirit32c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.622651.3%116 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2b5c…e5aabacked Spirit32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spirit32c72.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.142,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Spirit30c69.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.896543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed FURIA58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.979756.7%55 W · 42 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed FURIA62c66.04$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.351,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23d1…214ebacked FURIA54c64.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.814841.7%20 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed Spirit35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038754.8%212 W · 175 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Spirit32c56.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9410149.5%50 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed FURIA69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.547165.2%307 W · 164 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Spirit33c47.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7723653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a79…6acebacked FURIA69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.483265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked FURIA58c40.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1527848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ac…fd38backed FURIA49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+78.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61ad…4f94backed Spirit35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29dc…e862backed FURIA60c38.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.331656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spirit37c34.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.851,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Spirit31c32.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1450056.6%283 W · 217 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc55d…9fd8backed FURIA63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.758349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Spirit41c31.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1332357.6%186 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Spirit50c31.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7585054.4%462 W · 388 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FURIA64c31.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.242,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9cb…0134backed FURIA67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8520145.8%92 W · 109 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91df…fd49backed FURIA69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9915966%105 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed FURIA68c25.61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.289364.5%60 W · 33 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked FURIA60c22.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9727452.2%143 W · 131 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2801…ebdcbacked Spirit54c20.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.073240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.