TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6754…e4fc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT9153.8%49 W · 42 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+123.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament Group Abacked Team Novaq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$310.62
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - DraculaN Group Bbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs AM Gaming (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Playoffsbacked DXA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.21
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$49.83
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Atreides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$79.13
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$252
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$256.55
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$139.8
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$225.99
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.81
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$801Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+121.9%+$976.25
Counter-Strike: paiN vs M80 (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.44
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.54
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-33.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,579Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,579
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.04
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.83
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.08
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$247.26
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$63.7
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+133%+$123.21
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$202.54
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$126
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$177.36
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+334.8%+$451.96
Rockets vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$99.1
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+96.1%+$294
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$92.61
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,093.39
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+25%+$119
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$206.5
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$225
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$86.7
Will the Colts sign Phillip Rivers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$233.05
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+117.4%+$281.74
Jets vs. Patriotsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+76%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+385.4%+$231.84
California vs. Hawaiibacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$301.54
Spread: Ole Miss (-14.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$60
New Mexico State vs. Tennessee: O/U 60.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Memphis vs. East Carolinabacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+77%+$156.98
O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Washington vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+130%+$52.12
Tulane vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+203%+$40.61
Spread: Marshall (-6.5)backed Marshall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$283
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-55.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Sharksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Predators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+117.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-13.5)backed Cincinnati Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42.67
San Jose State Spartans vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+99%+$99.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+300%+$375
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+61.8%+$9.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$136.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Lanús vs. CF Universidad de Chile end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.