NFL · resolved market
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81be71c406085cede3485dbd3801cc083d077568f63fcf1136aa1e7beadf214c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $792,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $786,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $792,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 375 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8466…0f1ebacked Yes | 34c | 57,154$19,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,432.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62c…1659backed No | 66c | 57,154$37,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,432.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…137bbacked No | 67c | 56,427$37,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,620.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12b…0ed6backed Yes | 33c | 56,427$18,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,620.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece9…75a4backed No | 67c | 54,671$36,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,041.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb5…6ba7backed Yes | 33c | 54,671$18,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,041.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…d495backed No | 67c | 36,187$24,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,941.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…1c86backed Yes | 33c | 36,187$11,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,941.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Yes | 33c | 20,287$6,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,693.43 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a19…5d40backed Yes | 39c | 13,700$5,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,343 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…154abacked No | 61c | 7,600$4,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 32c | 7,360$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.06 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d97…2413backed Yes | 65c | 7,200$4,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,677.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4ab6backed No | 35c | 6,942$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,512.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…40b6backed No | 61c | 6,100$3,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 38c | 5,602$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.28 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…36b3backed Yes | 47c | 3,794$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.13 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Yes | 33c | 3,793$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.8 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…9b1cbacked Yes | 43c | 3,376$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes | 34c | 3,046$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.56 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7976…34f7backed No | 60c | 3,012$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3971…b81cbacked No | 60c | 2,774$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bce…9775backed Yes | 19c | 2,684$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 45c | 2,397$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.65 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…bbfebacked Yes | 38c | 2,343$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd749…9538backed Yes | 18c | 2,184$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6699…6ee8backed Yes | 18c | 2,115$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 25c | 2,078$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.22 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c3…b29ebacked No | 55c | 1,828$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc88…10eabacked Yes | 19c | 1,743$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc9…5cbdbacked Yes | 19c | 1,660$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…59f4backed Yes | 19c | 1,648$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…f221backed Yes | 19c | 1,598$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 35c | 1,573$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.95 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe82c…411dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,534$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…9902backed Yes | 40c | 1,527$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5b…0d92backed Yes | 40c | 1,517$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 35c | 1,500$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x899d…cabcbacked Yes | 19c | 1,489$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…15c5backed No | 59c | 1,486$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…035cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,472$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 21c | 1,432$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.71 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122f…cac0backed Yes | 19c | 1,379$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd7…de35backed Yes | 18c | 1,362$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…11edbacked Yes | 19c | 1,352$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 19c | 1,283$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…9da4backed Yes | 19c | 1,272$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730c…17f8backed Yes | 19c | 1,236$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 32c | 1,193$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.58 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,164$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.19 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,138$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.88 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031f…faccbacked Yes | 18c | 1,114$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…d09cbacked Yes | 22c | 1,085$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.4 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b3…d71dbacked Yes | 19c | 965$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +139.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf40…c94bbacked Yes | 19c | 927.48$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed6…5e00backed Yes | 45c | 907$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed1…d6eabacked Yes | 19c | 900$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +138%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 49c | 896.56$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.17 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…4ec8backed Yes | 19c | 889$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3314…7cacbacked Yes | 18c | 889$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd392…4343backed Yes | 18c | 882$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…886dbacked Yes | 19c | 876$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa246…f8b9backed No | 59c | 850$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 32c | 827.67$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.85 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 37c | 800$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…e30fbacked No | 59c | 792$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…98efbacked Yes | 19c | 792$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +217.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e9…f3cdbacked Yes | 41c | 792$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e3…39cfbacked No | 59c | 785$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1905…1a66backed Yes | 44c | 778$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 33c | 775.42$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.03 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e20fbacked Yes | 18c | 771$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…dd39backed No | 75c | 770$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6721backed Yes | 41c | 759$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…b5ebbacked No | 59c | 759$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…54cbbacked No | 60c | 752$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…a762backed Yes | 40c | 752$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2c…8cdabacked No | 57c | 751$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693a…5cd3backed No | 59c | 751$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5f…c128backed Yes | 41c | 751$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 65c | 750$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a07…93ebbacked Yes | 38c | 750$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…2527backed No | 79c | 749.19$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…fe3dbacked No | 59c | 743$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6425…5f73backed No | 59c | 743$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…3931backed No | 59c | 729$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…774bbacked Yes | 41c | 729$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…6f9ebacked No | 59c | 729$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…48fdbacked Yes | 41c | 729$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…c1b6backed Yes | 43c | 720$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d6…7e08backed Yes | 18c | 647$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 618.28$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.54 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…e8fbbacked No | 62c | 608$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe0…1364backed Yes | 45c | 592$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5e…7a6cbacked Yes | 18c | 579$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…21e8backed No | 61c | 559$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 73c | 558.94$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.54 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…b5a7backed Yes | 18c | 556$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…1d99backed Yes | 56c | 549.03$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.23 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win the NFC West?No won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?No won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.