NFL · resolved market
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8f3195c87bede28433252671109f39e0e0f5c58c6331564621bdd0c0a42950c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $269,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7462…5134backed Yes | 22c | 21,544$4,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,804.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 16c | 9,795$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,256.34 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 42c | 7,908$3,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,586.66 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed No | 58c | 6,036$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Yes | 57c | 5,558$3,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.24 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…1d99backed No | 78c | 5,550$4,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,329 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…6c1abacked No | 78c | 5,470$4,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,266.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc438…3ae6backed Yes | 55c | 5,407$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 55c | 5,330$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.13 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf3…076cbacked No | 78c | 5,300$4,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,134 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec1…ce83backed No | 78c | 5,224$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,074.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…4999backed Yes | 50c | 5,059$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea44…467bbacked No | 50c | 4,952$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes | 56c | 4,913$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.9 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 49c | 4,742$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.82 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 54c | 3,600$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.99 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…1e30backed Yes | 56c | 3,543$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.31 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,443$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 568 | 9.9%56 W · 512 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Yes | 55c | 3,330$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.65 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…b3fcbacked Yes | 52c | 2,910$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…d074backed No | 48c | 2,900$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Yes | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb7…1da9backed Yes | 52c | 2,641$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5d…a32ebacked No | 50c | 2,561$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d5…1b40backed Yes | 50c | 2,549$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0575…01f9backed No | 48c | 2,540$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf7…9a82backed Yes | 52c | 2,522$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c25…3968backed No | 48c | 2,506$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a93…4f54backed Yes | 52c | 2,488$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a1…10e3backed No | 48c | 2,384$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b12…d8a1backed No | 50c | 2,367$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…4412backed Yes | 50c | 2,338$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…5582backed Yes | 52c | 2,311$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Yes | 19c | 2,302$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.39 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…9dfcbacked No | 48c | 2,285$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1f…6eb9backed Yes | 52c | 2,245$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 41c | 2,200$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309 | 280 | 35%98 W · 182 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5d…ae4ebacked No | 50c | 2,193$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea01…6520backed No | 48c | 2,189$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Yes | 53c | 2,186$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.93 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…c4d4backed Yes | 50c | 2,180$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x856a…f95ebacked Yes | 52c | 2,117$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…329ebacked No | 48c | 2,093$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,052$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.59 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…b297backed Yes | 33c | 2,035$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…492cbacked No | 48c | 1,992$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…6d3bbacked Yes | 52c | 1,950$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba9…3175backed Yes | 52c | 1,934$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Yes | 17c | 1,877$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.65 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…e920backed No | 48c | 1,577$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Yes | 55c | 1,462$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.82 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 19c | 1,382$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.73 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…ad6dbacked No | 50c | 1,374$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 46c | 1,336$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.92 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…47c1backed Yes | 50c | 1,307$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,253$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.62 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…6b7fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,177$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 14c | 1,146$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.69 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff85…053dbacked No | 48c | 1,138$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8315…55cfbacked Yes | 29c | 970$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Yes | 20c | 900$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e64…af6ebacked Yes | 16c | 900$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 45c | 837.19$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.21 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594c…3399backed No | 51c | 823$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 31c | 800$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b0…9fb0backed Yes | 32c | 792.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 48c | 725$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.39 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Yes | 37c | 671.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.54 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49a…36ccbacked No | 40c | 660$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa310…4c56backed Yes | 17c | 647.06$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.06 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 52c | 629.87$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.68 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe703…5d74backed Yes | 53c | 600$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf8…d384backed Yes | 16c | 593.75$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.75 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 51c | 574.43$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.76 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 34c | 564.8$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.33 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Yes | 16c | 557.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 44c | 507.78$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.61 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…0a52backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe570…084ebacked Yes | 25c | 492.88$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +165%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c28…5298backed Yes | 52c | 485.85$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…c223backed No | 71c | 450$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe067…b980backed Yes | 16c | 442.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +912.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…a77bbacked No | 51c | 440.95$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.59 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 55c | 438.69$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.11 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 44c | 430.74$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.45 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…d974backed No | 52c | 430$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…36b3backed Yes | 28c | 429.66$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.62 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc1…389fbacked Yes | 24c | 423.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.56 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 39c | 400$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.26 | 183 | 36.1%66 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes | 17c | 400$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 49c | 396.1$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.01 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed No | 48c | 392.77$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…f174backed Yes | 51c | 381.1$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e54…6631backed No | 40c | 380.1$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b93…9b5dbacked No | 46c | 380$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 50c | 376.6$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.3 | 120 | 22.5%27 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x117b…d2a7backed No | 47c | 370$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 51c | 367.22$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.12 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win the NFC West?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?No won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.