NFL · resolved market
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fb8a735c3216b05603d9a0620342441aa5c263e39395b0c0310297e1302a0f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,110,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,100,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,110,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 470 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa791…8b9dbacked Yes | 37c | 60,537$22,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,398.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe10…2a3fbacked No | 63c | 60,537$38,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,398.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…5251backed Yes | 39c | 57,018$22,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,237.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e4…b63bbacked No | 61c | 57,018$34,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,237.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 40c | 36,818$14,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,846.67 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9995…1b5cbacked Yes | 37c | 34,209$12,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,657.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9537…dc8fbacked No | 63c | 34,209$21,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,657.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f7…c2e2backed Yes | 38c | 34,007$12,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,922.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c88…d15dbacked No | 62c | 34,007$21,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,922.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304d…ffbfbacked Yes | 39c | 32,379$12,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,627.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e25…0575backed No | 61c | 32,379$19,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,627.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf329…d77cbacked Yes | 38c | 31,829$12,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,095.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24b…7281backed No | 62c | 31,829$19,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,095.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 60c | 29,782$17,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,835.67 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e9…4ebbbacked Yes | 38c | 26,545$10,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,087.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93e…2db5backed No | 62c | 26,545$16,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,087.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 26c | 11,301$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.38 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…54a2backed Yes | 23c | 10,400$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 8,095$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.74 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 24c | 6,561$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.37 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…4928backed Yes | 33c | 5,908$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 33c | 5,842$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.17 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…4ac4backed No | 59c | 4,916$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed Yes | 11c | 4,634$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 4,125$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.73 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 14c | 4,043$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.1 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Yes | 42c | 3,856$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.12 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5b…e0d3backed No | 77c | 3,600$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…daa3backed No | 67c | 3,525$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedde…8fcbbacked No | 77c | 3,500$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…63e6backed Yes | 32c | 3,500$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…2decbacked Yes | 30c | 3,436$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…0283backed Yes | 15c | 3,348$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…5c6fbacked No | 77c | 3,300$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked No | 64c | 3,060$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.1 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8399…49f9backed Yes | 31c | 2,859$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd701…55c3backed Yes | 30c | 2,832$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0b…15ecbacked No | 69c | 2,647$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…c44abacked No | 69c | 2,626$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49a…36ccbacked Yes | 41c | 2,598$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed No | 78c | 2,594$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.51 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb510…7d9cbacked No | 67c | 2,530$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…cfccbacked No | 67c | 2,386$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 68c | 2,250$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.45 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…4f35backed No | 68c | 2,199$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…8553backed No | 70c | 2,129$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…77aebacked Yes | 26c | 2,120$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 2,061$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Yes | 37c | 1,987$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.48 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca6…1e2cbacked No | 80c | 1,904$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693a…5cd3backed No | 71c | 1,897$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…7cd3backed Yes | 30c | 1,873$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.38 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…53f4backed No | 68c | 1,846$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c4…6f82backed Yes | 32c | 1,838$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…69a7backed Yes | 26c | 1,816$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Yes | 38c | 1,807$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b98…6e72backed No | 69c | 1,744$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…9d2fbacked No | 69c | 1,737$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…ca83backed Yes | 34c | 1,671$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…04cbbacked Yes | 31c | 1,655$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 64c | 1,546$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0528…87cbbacked Yes | 31c | 1,546$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 33c | 1,536$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,527$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.3 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 44c | 1,442$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.78 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5e…e401backed Yes | 33c | 1,438$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8600…a6f2backed No | 71c | 1,282$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f9…8f32backed Yes | 29c | 1,280$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…e0a5backed Yes | 29c | 1,275$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…6f9ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,272$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e9…5c13backed No | 72c | 1,264$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7e…a74abacked No | 73c | 1,255$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c3…9d95backed No | 74c | 1,255$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ab…47f1backed No | 75c | 1,218$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…a762backed Yes | 25c | 1,218$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf571…c67ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,212$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…5633backed Yes | 27c | 1,206$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6721backed No | 74c | 1,198$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 63c | 1,181$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.66 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 39c | 1,165$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.68 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 47c | 1,162$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6635…3eeebacked Yes | 29c | 1,150$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968c…2c91backed No | 68c | 1,095$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e94…13d6backed No | 69c | 1,088$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d6…1759backed Yes | 30c | 1,063$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed No | 53c | 1,060$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.28 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 64c | 1,039$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +54%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…d256backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +3,225.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Yes | 23c | 999.97$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.99 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…6bdbbacked No | 70c | 992$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 37c | 984.74$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.35 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ee…7127backed Yes | 31c | 966$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes | 37c | 958.36$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.59 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304c…9c6abacked Yes | 37c | 945.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 18c | 927.57$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.28 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 71c | 890.7$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 73c | 888$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 74c | 886.04$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.35per pick | 62cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71de…67c9backed No | 69c | 862$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win the NFC West?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?No won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.