CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7013fc7d07ff790bac7e67d6d52854148460bd03e9837bcc8a06bd4c0e7fa60f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof illwill, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe40e…9770backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 10,000$5,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,406.13 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked illwill | 34c | 5,722$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.03 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed illwill | 32c | 4,567$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.27 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed ex-RUBY | 64c | 4,122$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.84 | 152 | 64.5%98 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed illwill | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.99 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked illwill | 40c | 3,690$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.73 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed illwill | 45c | 3,273$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.47 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked ex-RUBY | 44c | 3,104$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.79 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed illwill | 67c | 2,808$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.82 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fd…1250backed illwill | 50c | 2,570$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUBY | 46c | 2,562$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.54 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked illwill | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked illwill | 45c | 2,376$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.84 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked illwill | 34c | 2,035$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.39 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 2,020$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.13 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 2,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.99 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34af…3bbfbacked illwill | 47c | 1,959$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.21 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUBY | 44c | 1,851$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.07 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…4182backed illwill | 44c | 1,718$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked illwill | 42c | 1,698$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…8bfdbacked illwill | 57c | 1,655$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.22 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed illwill | 51c | 1,603$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.67 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28b…d99dbacked illwill | 44c | 1,584$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed illwill | 38c | 1,559$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.71 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6b…e911backed illwill | 9c | 1,535$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked illwill | 43c | 1,516$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.92 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked illwill | 40c | 1,508$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.98 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked illwill | 44c | 1,500$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed illwill | 40c | 1,489$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.17 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-RUBY | 48c | 1,456$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.49 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked illwill | 13c | 1,391$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.79 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed illwill | 44c | 1,281$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.42 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.99 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 1,178$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.93 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0786…df1dbacked illwill | 69c | 1,100$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.77 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed ex-RUBY | 48c | 1,077$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.35 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc927…a3c2backed illwill | 2c | 1,052$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked ex-RUBY | 54c | 1,049$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.63 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe91e…9ea8backed illwill | 54c | 1,036$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.75 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked ex-RUBY | 48c | 1,035$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.19 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed illwill | 45c | 1,017$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.55 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…5943backed ex-RUBY | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed illwill | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked ex-RUBY | 56c | 997.13$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.74 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked illwill | 42c | 982.5$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.98 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked illwill | 46c | 817$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.27 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ex-RUBY | 43c | 800.26$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.37 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked illwill | 47c | 795.85$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.82 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…0d84backed illwill | 56c | 753.49$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…dcedbacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 728.61$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.62 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7e…4e99backed illwill | 44c | 724.8$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 707.39$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.07 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed illwill | 67c | 637.1$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.75 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…b29fbacked ex-RUBY | 73c | 606.94$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.04 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed illwill | 32c | 599.1$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed illwill | 48c | 598.19$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.21 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed illwill | 43c | 586.83$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.88 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed illwill | 23c | 576.08$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.68 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a5…e36bbacked illwill | 44c | 534.08$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 521.47$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.38 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…0539backed illwill | 38c | 516.7$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a3…dc78backed illwill | 43c | 512.56$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed illwill | 38c | 501.97$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.72 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed illwill | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed illwill | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f815backed illwill | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…9aa0backed illwill | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…80c7backed illwill | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…944cbacked illwill | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x619b…0d40backed illwill | 62c | 499.01$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed illwill | 40c | 498.57$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.36 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed illwill | 51c | 479.28$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.3 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked illwill | 45c | 477.88$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.05 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed illwill | 53c | 470.62$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.81 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed illwill | 43c | 470.47$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.3 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-RUBY | 35c | 454.62$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.99 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed ex-RUBY | 72c | 450.7$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.34 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed illwill | 28c | 440.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.94 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…c3e7backed illwill | 32c | 439.97$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.79 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed illwill | 50c | 432.36$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.67 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed ex-RUBY | 47c | 421.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.53 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked illwill | 41c | 418.9$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 417.02$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.37 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed illwill | 30c | 412.47$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed illwill | 40c | 400.38$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.21 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed illwill | 43c | 396.64$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.56 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked ex-RUBY | 51c | 375.29$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.59 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed illwill | 64c | 358.39$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.67 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked illwill | 37c | 350$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked illwill | 36c | 339.52$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.93 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed illwill | 46c | 339.1$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.07 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked illwill | 37c | 333$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.21 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked ex-RUBY | 62c | 318.81$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.52 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked ex-RUBY | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb654…7be3backed ex-RUBY | 48c | 299.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked illwill | 64c | 292.77$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…e3d7backed illwill | 66c | 292.72$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.59 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed illwill | 40c | 289$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.96 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerillwill won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.