TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe91e…9ea8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT10338.8%40 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.13
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+136%+$47.2
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs WW Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.97
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs SAW Youngsters - Map 1 Winnerbacked SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$21.27
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$50.28
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$68.36
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked DENDELE CS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.98
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$28.93
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.8
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.58
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.55
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.78
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+65%+$64.31
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.09
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$69.1
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.07
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Procyon Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.05
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fluxo W7M - Map 1 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.7
Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$26.44
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs SPARTA (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.3
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+161.4%+$40.35
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$18.51
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.67
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.66
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.63
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.57
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.67
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+156.5%+$147.56
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.7
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$13.66
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.4
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$16.11
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+252.6%+$149.03
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$91.21
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.41
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.41
All 25 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$9.27
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+110.6%+$42.32
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$20.43
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.94
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.41
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.02
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+40%+$5.68
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$29.24
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-47.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Kennedy Nzechukwu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.