CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90043b29f6dec288b8e2593d71e2353334c696680c5df49a17f2c631da5c1c14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof Heroic, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $381,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $424,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Heroic | 48c | 39,612$18,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,823.33 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked TheMongolz | 53c | 19,178$10,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,005.02 | 413 | 40.2%166 W · 247 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked TheMongolz | 44c | 10,605$4,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,938.6 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked TheMongolz | 50c | 9,877$4,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,893.31 | 76 | 17.1%13 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed TheMongolz | 45c | 9,355$4,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,105.72 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Heroic | 62c | 9,148$5,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,695.56 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Heroic | 54c | 6,659$3,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,606.41 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 55c | 6,079$3,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350.74 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Heroic | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.99 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc1…c26bbacked Heroic | 55c | 4,727$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed TheMongolz | 45c | 4,414$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.68 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed TheMongolz | 60c | 3,990$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.32 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed TheMongolz | 46c | 3,748$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.99 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked TheMongolz | 47c | 3,687$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.98 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed TheMongolz | 46c | 3,619$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.02 | 437 | 64.3%281 W · 156 L | +51.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Heroic | 53c | 3,418$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.53 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz | 51c | 3,217$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TheMongolz | 48c | 3,145$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.92 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed TheMongolz | 71c | 3,056$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Heroic | 47c | 3,000$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.85 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Heroic | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…0adcbacked TheMongolz | 46c | 3,000$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked TheMongolz | 50c | 2,817$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.51 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Heroic | 38c | 2,630$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.78 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed TheMongolz | 44c | 2,532$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.75 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed TheMongolz | 47c | 2,457$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.29 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed TheMongolz | 51c | 2,243$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.05 | 294 | 43.9%129 W · 165 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed TheMongolz | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 972 | 40.7%396 W · 576 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked TheMongolz | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Heroic | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Heroic | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 378 | 45.5%172 W · 206 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked TheMongolz | 46c | 1,971$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed TheMongolz | 47c | 1,915$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.64 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed TheMongolz | 46c | 1,914$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.66 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked TheMongolz | 45c | 1,871$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.05 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Heroic | 48c | 1,842$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.56 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed Heroic | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Heroic | 54c | 1,744$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.85 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed TheMongolz | 43c | 1,630$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.35 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed TheMongolz | 54c | 1,623$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.51 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…b0cabacked TheMongolz | 47c | 1,542$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.19 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Heroic | 52c | 1,516$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.36 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed TheMongolz | 48c | 1,503$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.56 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +5.6wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Heroic | 55c | 1,453$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 755 | 45.6%344 W · 411 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…ee6cbacked TheMongolz | 46c | 1,376$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.04 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Heroic | 55c | 1,372$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…e67bbacked TheMongolz | 71c | 1,300$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.87 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Heroic | 47c | 1,279$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 1,211$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.15 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic | 46c | 1,143$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.1 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Heroic | 51c | 1,075$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.8 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked TheMongolz | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed TheMongolz | 42c | 1,024$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.7 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked TheMongolz | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Heroic | 37c | 1,000$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.4 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Heroic | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Heroic | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 226 | 41.2%93 W · 133 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed Heroic | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed Heroic | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +13.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Heroic | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Heroic | 26c | 999.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 321 | 36.8%118 W · 203 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked TheMongolz | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.16 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed TheMongolz | 37c | 933.33$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 618 | 34.6%214 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed Heroic | 55c | 915.98$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.79 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…5e63backed Heroic | 10c | 852.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.15 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Heroic | 64c | 836.2$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.17 | 368 | 47.6%175 W · 193 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked TheMongolz | 51c | 770.17$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.79 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Heroic | 56c | 750$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 356 | 43%153 W · 203 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked Heroic | 54c | 750$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Heroic | 47c | 739.71$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.36 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Heroic | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 699.98$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.99 | 258 | 55%142 W · 116 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Heroic | 43c | 679.42$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.59 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Heroic | 55c | 671.27$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.2 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Heroic | 50c | 663.49$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.58 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed TheMongolz | 62c | 649.18$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.18 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Heroic | 51c | 638.62$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.86 | 428 | 54.9%235 W · 193 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked TheMongolz | 45c | 638.42$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.11 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84df…08b7backed Heroic | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed Heroic | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked TheMongolz | 52c | 530.76$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.9 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed TheMongolz | 40c | 520$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Heroic | 55c | 519.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.59 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…960ebacked Heroic | 63c | 516.43$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.31 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed TheMongolz | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed TheMongolz | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 454 | 39.6%180 W · 274 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Heroic | 54c | 493.22$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.46 | 552 | 32.4%179 W · 373 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd00b…8897backed Heroic | 64c | 470.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…c848backed Heroic | 54c | 469.99$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.8 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed TheMongolz | 47c | 463.02$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.4 | 385 | 46.2%178 W · 207 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a2…c1c2backed Heroic | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked TheMongolz | 46c | 439.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.26 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…a172backed Heroic | 45c | 436.91$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed Heroic | 47c | 426.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Heroic | 52c | 417.69$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.02 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked TheMongolz | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked TheMongolz | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 432 | 53%229 W · 203 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed TheMongolz | 60c | 368$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…9fbbbacked Heroic | 55c | 366.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)Heroic won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.