TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heroicof Heroic, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$213,800
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$249,251

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,800 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e6e…be00backed TheMongolz40c40,000$16,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,20041649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Heroic59c16,672$9,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,845.8538358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Heroic69c6,842$4,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.321,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Heroic65c6,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Heroic64c5,829$3,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.9887047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked TheMongolz35c5,274$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845.915245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf56d…c3d9backed TheMongolz3c4,237$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.24835.4%17 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Heroic66c4,163$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.981,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed TheMongolz42c3,961$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.412,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed Heroic76c3,519$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.86271%44 W · 18 L+12.9wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed Heroic74c2,887$2,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.6440264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Heroic61c2,649$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.4288746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked TheMongolz29c2,421$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70024038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86bf…a172backed TheMongolz29c2,189$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.553836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked TheMongolz25c2,154$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.622,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed TheMongolz17c2,026$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.371,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed TheMongolz41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8201,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Heroic57c1,940$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.1313043.1%56 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked TheMongolz11c1,936$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.681,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic61c1,737$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.571,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic61c1,693$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.751,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked TheMongolz24c1,644$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed TheMongolz51c1,569$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80054732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked TheMongolz8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Heroic79c1,142$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.242,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked TheMongolz6c1,005$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.322729.1%66 W · 161 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed TheMongolz32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3202,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x996c…b6ecbacked TheMongolz50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018860.1%113 W · 75 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x987d…1fe9backed TheMongolz35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed TheMongolz9c951.84$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.542,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Heroic60c889.73$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.891,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Heroic59c871.51$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.131,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Heroic59c810$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33052150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked TheMongolz35c782.5$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.0215838%60 W · 98 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Heroic58c765.62$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.5681244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Heroic75c757.92$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.3216142.9%69 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed TheMongolz40c744.53$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.8148240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Heroic66c618.24$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.2422954.6%125 W · 104 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked TheMongolz51c581.26$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.4419443.3%84 W · 110 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x069a…7c82backed TheMongolz39c521.65$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick41cpaid+75.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Heroic57c512$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1627753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed Heroic73c505$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5521143.1%91 W · 120 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Heroic60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20013245.5%60 W · 72 L-8.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed Heroic65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17521060%126 W · 84 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e3…dc0ebacked TheMongolz13c459.08$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.185547.3%26 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Heroic60c432$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.840253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Heroic59c432$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.3844747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0378…7634backed Heroic70c427.4$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.45959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked TheMongolz26c389.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009445.7%43 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0c…5ad0backed TheMongolz19c379.05$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7310643.4%46 W · 60 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1493…41acbacked TheMongolz22c367.27$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.43542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked TheMongolz23c345.65$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0f…d336backed TheMongolz40c342.5$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1371926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x58a2…c1c2backed Heroic59c305.08$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.085151%26 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Heroic58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12653444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9929…15a8backed Heroic59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12317163.7%109 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cb1…9fbbbacked TheMongolz42c299.62$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.848534.1%29 W · 56 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Heroic63c287.3$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.315641%64 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Heroic59c278.89$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3514546.9%68 W · 77 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked TheMongolz36c263.89$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9412642.9%54 W · 72 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked TheMongolz19c240.88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.114,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked TheMongolz42c230$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.61931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked TheMongolz22c227.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015047.3%71 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Heroic77c220.15$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9372353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Heroic65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ce…11a2backed Heroic77c197.29$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.434065%26 W · 14 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Heroic50c187$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.55,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed TheMongolz42c178.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7538835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed TheMongolz29c156.93$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4622740.5%92 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Heroic72c154.65$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.644,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked TheMongolz23c152.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked TheMongolz41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.518549.2%91 W · 94 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Heroic57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.529246.9%137 W · 155 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x528a…12f1backed TheMongolz21c141.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.85747.4%27 W · 30 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked TheMongolz32c130.06$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6214544.8%65 W · 80 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f20…934fbacked Heroic66c120$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2532463%204 W · 120 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked TheMongolz42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028935.3%102 W · 187 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x962d…dc4cbacked TheMongolz42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508151.9%42 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed TheMongolz42c118.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021346.9%100 W · 113 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed TheMongolz25c108$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.821,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1991…348ebacked Heroic71c103.82$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.719150.3%96 W · 95 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Heroic57c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.567750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked TheMongolz30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Heroic50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5030639.5%121 W · 185 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked TheMongolz10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed TheMongolz39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397548%36 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da2…22b6backed TheMongolz29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2938945.8%178 W · 211 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc8…f527backed TheMongolz42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4248826.2%128 W · 360 L-44.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed TheMongolz13c99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.982,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc633…b4e7backed TheMongolz29c96.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed TheMongolz42c95.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9977351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6844…d538backed Heroic67c93.36$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3911557.4%66 W · 49 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Heroic73c82.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.372,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Heroic59c74.94$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7349149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed TheMongolz40c74.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.142651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Heroic59c74.25$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4453859.3%319 W · 219 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked TheMongolz20c71.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.348153.1%43 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked TheMongolz16c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141516.6%69 W · 346 L-36.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2fcb…4289backed TheMongolz29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3515052%78 W · 72 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d7…496bbacked Heroic59c69$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.