CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84ead8bd7d5db5787124a3164ba5754e29dbd675787a7f72ff98f01a3b179dfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed TheMongolz | 40c | 40,000$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,200 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Heroic | 59c | 16,672$9,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,845.85 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Heroic | 69c | 6,842$4,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.32 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Heroic | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Heroic | 64c | 5,829$3,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.98 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked TheMongolz | 35c | 5,274$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.9 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…c3d9backed TheMongolz | 3c | 4,237$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Heroic | 66c | 4,163$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.98 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed TheMongolz | 42c | 3,961$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.41 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed Heroic | 76c | 3,519$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.8 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +12.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Heroic | 74c | 2,887$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.64 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Heroic | 61c | 2,649$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.42 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked TheMongolz | 29c | 2,421$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…a172backed TheMongolz | 29c | 2,189$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.55 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked TheMongolz | 25c | 2,154$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.62 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed TheMongolz | 17c | 2,026$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.37 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed TheMongolz | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Heroic | 57c | 1,940$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.13 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked TheMongolz | 11c | 1,936$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.68 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic | 61c | 1,737$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.57 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 61c | 1,693$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.75 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked TheMongolz | 24c | 1,644$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed TheMongolz | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked TheMongolz | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Heroic | 79c | 1,142$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.24 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked TheMongolz | 6c | 1,005$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed TheMongolz | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…b6ecbacked TheMongolz | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987d…1fe9backed TheMongolz | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed TheMongolz | 9c | 951.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Heroic | 60c | 889.73$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.89 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Heroic | 59c | 871.51$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.13 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Heroic | 59c | 810$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…b0cabacked TheMongolz | 35c | 782.5$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.02 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Heroic | 58c | 765.62$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.56 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Heroic | 75c | 757.92$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.32 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed TheMongolz | 40c | 744.53$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.81 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Heroic | 66c | 618.24$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.24 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked TheMongolz | 51c | 581.26$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.44 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069a…7c82backed TheMongolz | 39c | 521.65$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Heroic | 57c | 512$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.16 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed Heroic | 73c | 505$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.55 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Heroic | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Heroic | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e3…dc0ebacked TheMongolz | 13c | 459.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Heroic | 60c | 432$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Heroic | 59c | 432$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.38 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…7634backed Heroic | 70c | 427.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked TheMongolz | 26c | 389.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed TheMongolz | 19c | 379.05$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1493…41acbacked TheMongolz | 22c | 367.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked TheMongolz | 23c | 345.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed TheMongolz | 40c | 342.5$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58a2…c1c2backed Heroic | 59c | 305.08$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Heroic | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed Heroic | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…9fbbbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 299.62$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.84 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Heroic | 63c | 287.3$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.3 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Heroic | 59c | 278.89$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.35 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked TheMongolz | 36c | 263.89$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TheMongolz | 19c | 240.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 230$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked TheMongolz | 22c | 227.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Heroic | 77c | 220.15$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Heroic | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…11a2backed Heroic | 77c | 197.29$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Heroic | 50c | 187$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed TheMongolz | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed TheMongolz | 29c | 156.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Heroic | 72c | 154.65$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TheMongolz | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked TheMongolz | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Heroic | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528a…12f1backed TheMongolz | 21c | 141.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked TheMongolz | 32c | 130.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Heroic | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…adaabacked TheMongolz | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 289 | 35.3%102 W · 187 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x962d…dc4cbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed TheMongolz | 42c | 118.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 46.9%100 W · 113 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed TheMongolz | 25c | 108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked Heroic | 71c | 103.82$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Heroic | 57c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked TheMongolz | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Heroic | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked TheMongolz | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed TheMongolz | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…22b6backed TheMongolz | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 389 | 45.8%178 W · 211 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed TheMongolz | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed TheMongolz | 13c | 99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…b4e7backed TheMongolz | 29c | 96.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed TheMongolz | 42c | 95.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed Heroic | 67c | 93.36$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Heroic | 73c | 82.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Heroic | 59c | 74.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed TheMongolz | 40c | 74.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Heroic | 59c | 74.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 538 | 59.3%319 W · 219 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked TheMongolz | 20c | 71.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked TheMongolz | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…4289backed TheMongolz | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 150 | 52%78 W · 72 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d7…496bbacked Heroic | 59c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)Heroic won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.