CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92863256cc968efb4a6beefcb26422cb2688d246323f1292b8c9f4d6d6b7dc0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 48c | 403.85$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 41c | 290.81$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.32 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Under | 51c | 285.7$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.71 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked Over | 48c | 270.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.72 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 52c | 207.09$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.69 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 52c | 182.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 52c | 180.55$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 68c | 155.32$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 52c | 139.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 52c | 112.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 33c | 101.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 49c | 98.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 48c | 96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 93.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Over | 50c | 78.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…af07backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 47c | 60.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…fbc6backed Over | 48c | 59.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Over | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 224 | 60.7%136 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c8…bbebbacked Over | 48c | 43.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e829backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Under | 40c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…5878backed Over | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012b…7c42backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Over | 41c | 30.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked Over | 48c | 29.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…adfdbacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 42c | 24.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 69c | 18.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 65c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)Heroic won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.