CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80443cb54be399626610e223765f2e72104adb90f6c0dfb015baae857f110062
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof Heroic, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,227,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,514,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,227,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 926 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Heroic | 39c | 110,000$42,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,852.34 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…a6b0backed TheMongolz | 38c | 72,282$27,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,134.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed TheMongolz | 63c | 63,130$39,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,358.03 | 262 | 56.1%147 W · 115 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed TheMongolz | 43c | 60,000$25,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,199.83 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed TheMongolz | 42c | 48,536$20,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,036.29 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed TheMongolz | 43c | 45,061$19,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,557.44 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed TheMongolz | 42c | 41,009$17,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,600.6 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked TheMongolz | 43c | 36,362$15,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,862.73 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Heroic | 53c | 35,981$19,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,070.01 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Heroic | 44c | 30,612$13,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,600.07 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked TheMongolz | 41c | 29,966$12,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,579.96 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Heroic | 54c | 29,395$15,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,873.48 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8f…b9b2backed Heroic | 2c | 25,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee6…a1efbacked Heroic | 2c | 25,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed TheMongolz | 42c | 23,946$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,945.81 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed TheMongolz | 46c | 23,471$10,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,595.77 | 255 | 53.3%136 W · 119 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Heroic | 59c | 21,141$12,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,442.4 | 423 | 41.8%177 W · 246 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed TheMongolz | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…0bf0backed Heroic | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…ec06backed Heroic | 2c | 20,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed TheMongolz | 42c | 19,597$8,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,377.01 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed TheMongolz | 40c | 19,099$7,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,432.69 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Heroic | 62c | 17,921$11,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,110.75 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fe…c916backed Heroic | 57c | 16,775$9,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,561.47 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Heroic | 53c | 16,628$8,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,766.06 | 327 | 52.3%171 W · 156 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Heroic | 56c | 15,531$8,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,697.49 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed TheMongolz | 57c | 15,361$8,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,679.15 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7528…6539backed Heroic | 1c | 15,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Heroic | 1c | 15,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb831…0295backed Heroic | 1c | 15,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…b186backed Heroic | 1c | 15,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Heroic | 56c | 14,521$8,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,164.23 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked TheMongolz | 46c | 13,748$6,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,423.92 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc1…c26bbacked Heroic | 54c | 12,963$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…8acbbacked Heroic | 41c | 12,855$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Heroic | 57c | 12,749$7,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,234.55 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Heroic | 41c | 12,164$5,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,013.15 | 76 | 17.1%13 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Heroic | 58c | 12,064$6,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,976.87 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Heroic | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,359.94 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Heroic | 53c | 11,111$5,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,888.83 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4848…71b9backed Heroic | 1c | 11,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc9…3432backed Heroic | 1c | 11,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked Heroic | 67c | 10,903$7,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,279.63 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Heroic | 55c | 10,452$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Heroic | 50c | 10,408$5,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,182.96 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…fd3bbacked Heroic | 77c | 10,059$7,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,745.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.7wins | -0.47per pick | 67cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…ed6fbacked Heroic | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Heroic | 57c | 9,999$5,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.43 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…100fbacked Heroic | 62c | 9,150$5,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,673.06 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked Heroic | 80c | 8,700$6,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,954.05 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked TheMongolz | 34c | 8,386$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,565.53 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked Heroic | 58c | 8,341$4,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,837.99 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked Heroic | 60c | 8,212$4,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,895.35 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Heroic | 58c | 7,094$4,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,135.57 | 679 | 51.4%349 W · 330 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked Heroic | 57c | 7,018$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 195 | 29.2%57 W · 138 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TheMongolz | 39c | 6,923$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,193.37 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…1feebacked Heroic | 57c | 6,371$3,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,631.74 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic | 48c | 6,324$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.31 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Heroic | 57c | 6,281$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Heroic | 78c | 6,105$4,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,782.68 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Heroic | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed TheMongolz | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed Heroic | 58c | 5,900$3,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Heroic | 56c | 5,830$3,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,265 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Heroic | 51c | 5,827$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.32 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked TheMongolz | 47c | 5,752$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.79 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…23c2backed TheMongolz | 68c | 5,466$3,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.48 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc06…8d59backed TheMongolz | 50c | 5,405$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Heroic | 56c | 5,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.98 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 50c | 4,964$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.04 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked Heroic | 52c | 4,934$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547.7 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked TheMongolz | 75c | 4,835$3,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.74 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Heroic | 50c | 4,800$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Heroic | 51c | 4,714$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.76 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed TheMongolz | 59c | 4,692$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.03 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…ef2cbacked Heroic | 58c | 4,536$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Heroic | 58c | 4,483$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.1 | 720 | 46.1%332 W · 388 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Heroic | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8b5abacked TheMongolz | 48c | 4,196$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed TheMongolz | 46c | 4,055$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.7 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed TheMongolz | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Heroic | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Heroic | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.94 | 789 | 39.5%312 W · 477 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…cbd2backed TheMongolz | 25c | 3,880$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Heroic | 59c | 3,867$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.7 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…c930backed Heroic | 58c | 3,780$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Heroic | 45c | 3,775$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.69 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic | 50c | 3,574$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.81 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…8bd4backed TheMongolz | 65c | 3,376$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.51 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked TheMongolz | 43c | 3,333$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.81 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 3,065$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.34 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Heroic | 60c | 3,053$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.62 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…ee6cbacked Heroic | 78c | 3,029$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.8 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Heroic | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.99 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Heroic | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.98 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 2,997$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.26 | 653 | 51.9%339 W · 314 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Heroic | 64c | 2,997$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909 | 413 | 40.2%166 W · 247 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Heroic | 62c | 2,903$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d5…2ec4backed TheMongolz | 46c | 2,902$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.17 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed TheMongolz | 49c | 2,807$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.89 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)Heroic won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.