South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d10b897459695e100c9b3c1b5a59b424ea4117bea7f709768fab040b475018e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $521,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $524,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $521,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Yes | 55c | 220,670$121,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,114.77 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 56c | 105,643$59,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,500.79 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 80,139$40,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,915.83 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 44c | 54,467$23,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,501.49 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Yes | 56c | 35,000$19,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,449.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed No | 45c | 22,222$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,222.22 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…3c52backed No | 44c | 16,470$7,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,223.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 45c | 16,203$7,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,911.54 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 46c | 15,194$6,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,201.84 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 56c | 12,522$7,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,069.11 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 45c | 12,168$5,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,692.4 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed No | 44c | 12,000$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 11,629$5,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,787.77 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 11,448$5,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,368.2 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 11,008$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,108.09 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 45c | 10,530$4,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,791.67 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 44c | 10,050$4,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,627.5 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…0a2dbacked No | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 44c | 7,854$3,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,373.41 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 46c | 7,500$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked No | 45c | 6,313$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,472.15 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 45c | 6,135$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.25 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 44c | 5,800$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked No | 44c | 4,550$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 35cpaid | +213.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 54c | 4,519$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.3 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 45c | 4,153$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.4 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Yes | 56c | 4,090$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 45c | 3,886$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.03 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 44c | 3,607$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.88 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 48c | 3,531$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.51 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Yes | 51c | 3,405$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.01 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 46c | 3,277$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.59 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 45c | 3,039$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.16 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed Yes | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 52c | 2,752$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.18 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 46c | 2,607$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.39 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 46c | 2,590$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.77 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.23 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.23 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 42c | 2,142$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.51 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 24c | 2,028$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.64 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…1e0cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,998$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9fcdbacked No | 32c | 1,657$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 38c | 1,557$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.46 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 48c | 1,523$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…fc37backed No | 46c | 1,516$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.86 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 56c | 1,498$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.45 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 50c | 1,489$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.21 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 44c | 1,365$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.87 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 1,300$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.59 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 29c | 1,300$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 79c | 1,260$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.63 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 45c | 1,146$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.5 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 46c | 1,136$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.44 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 46c | 1,136$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.44 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 1,135$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.16 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 44c | 1,134$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.82 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed No | 44c | 1,130$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 57c | 1,109$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.55 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 45c | 1,046$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.04 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 46c | 1,042$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.13 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x153c…bf6abacked Yes | 18c | 999.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked Yes | 51c | 948.86$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.65 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 45c | 914.22$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.08 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 45c | 901.09$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.6 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 78c | 731$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.39 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 61c | 687.5$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.37 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 56c | 687.29$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.54 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 45c | 620.86$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.97 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed No | 45c | 604.11$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.89 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…6eb7backed Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 45c | 536.18$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.9 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 51c | 527.95$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.04 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 76c | 523.23$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.16 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed No | 78c | 497.71$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Yes | 56c | 465$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 58c | 461.18$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.7 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 45c | 456.03$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.82 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 3c | 432$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 47c | 419.39$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.67 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…18f1backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed No | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 45c | 384.94$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.44 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…c687backed Yes | 35c | 377.41$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.84 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed No | 44c | 360$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…e424backed No | 45c | 353$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 55c | 350$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 46c | 349.26$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Yes | 56c | 343.17$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes | 60c | 333.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-26?this page
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-26?Yes won
- Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.