South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2015ef6b9a3f6d0ab3aa5c99782bef0194dee9387001b95dac7b7bd98b4099e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 13,224$5,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,829.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 46c | 9,129$4,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,207.86 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed No | 67c | 8,469$5,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,686.73 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked No | 68c | 7,062$4,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,815.65 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 45c | 6,710$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,711.77 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 5,253$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.75 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 35c | 4,484$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.43 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 57c | 4,000$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.4 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 21c | 3,812$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.77 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 79c | 3,373$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.53 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 79c | 3,368$2,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,653.96 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 36c | 2,823$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.36 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked No | 16c | 2,508$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.51 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 2,100$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed No | 49c | 2,061$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.42 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 21c | 1,891$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.66 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 79c | 1,622$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,194$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed No | 79c | 886.08$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes | 21c | 738.48$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 640.14$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.36 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 51c | 639.71$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.25 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 79c | 636.94$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.18 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked Yes | 56c | 633.77$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.59 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 2c | 563.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed Yes | 61c | 515.9$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 34c | 498.62$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.41 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 33c | 494.43$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.91 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 73c | 479.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 473.55$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.75 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 38c | 453.2$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.81 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…db25backed No | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 49c | 414.37$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.67 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked No | 30c | 400$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d0…6732backed Yes | 53c | 377.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.49 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed No | 79c | 360$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed No | 15c | 353.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 18c | 343$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.26 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Yes | 56c | 338.5$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.94 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 45c | 335.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 78c | 331.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.95 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 49c | 307.54$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.4 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 13c | 305.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 79c | 288$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.52 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 80c | 288$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed No | 45c | 285$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 65c | 261.26$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 21c | 256.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Yes | 54c | 252.42$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 79c | 217.14$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.63 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 78c | 216$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.48 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 20c | 211.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 51c | 202$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.65 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 64c | 186.61$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked No | 39c | 173.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe37c…ef29backed Yes | 75c | 168.21$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 150.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.19 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 79c | 141.77$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 41c | 137.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.74 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 44c | 125.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 43c | 125.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 20c | 121.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.45 | 197 | 11.2%22 W · 175 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed No | 17c | 120.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed No | 48c | 119.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 25c | 117.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…4e9abacked Yes | 61c | 112.93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…9169backed Yes | 59c | 105.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 61c | 102.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 63c | 94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Yes | 26c | 86.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b8…4df0backed Yes | 51c | 84.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…036abacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…8525backed No | 37c | 80.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked No | 56c | 74.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8611…2c36backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd342…a6a7backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f3…573ebacked Yes | 80c | 61.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…ab16backed No | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 28c | 53.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…355abacked No | 46c | 51.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 79c | 50.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 79cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 52c | 47.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 45.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…150cbacked Yes | 26c | 38.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 79c | 37.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 79c | 36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-26?this page
- Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?No won
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.