CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2cbc9bba96d1770ce3f4fb610c0e61bdd6221abe1cd5426177adc5875ab6adc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof Sinners, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $497,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $599,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $497,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Sinners | 28c | 44,799$12,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,313.44 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed FUT Esports | 18c | 35,284$6,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,371.76 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked FUT Esports | 70c | 24,118$16,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,917.25 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FUT Esports | 54c | 15,734$8,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,492.53 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe183…62e6backed FUT Esports | 73c | 15,000$10,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,949.17 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked FUT Esports | 24c | 13,773$3,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,321.64 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Sinners | 79c | 10,820$8,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.19 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Sinners | 45c | 10,806$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,906.03 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked FUT Esports | 72c | 9,029$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480.07 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Sinners | 38c | 5,447$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,393.92 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe816…1b93backed Sinners | 31c | 5,138$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,528.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.95 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Sinners | 61c | 4,996$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.61 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…08d2backed FUT Esports | 59c | 4,979$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.25 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8b5abacked FUT Esports | 64c | 4,704$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed FUT Esports | 79c | 4,000$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Sinners | 34c | 3,682$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.07 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Sinners | 35c | 3,488$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.26 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked FUT Esports | 66c | 3,312$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.81 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked FUT Esports | 3c | 3,302$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 76 | 17.1%13 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Sinners | 36c | 3,206$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.68 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed FUT Esports | 63c | 2,800$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.99 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Sinners | 44c | 2,728$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.42 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sinners | 52c | 2,688$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.55 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed FUT Esports | 59c | 2,650$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.35 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Sinners | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.97 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…ef2cbacked Sinners | 34c | 2,340$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked FUT Esports | 67c | 2,100$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.77 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…43f7backed FUT Esports | 43c | 2,086$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Sinners | 44c | 2,034$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.11 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked FUT Esports | 74c | 2,025$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Sinners | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed FUT Esports | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed FUT Esports | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Sinners | 66c | 2,000$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Sinners | 23c | 1,945$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.9 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…7634backed FUT Esports | 67c | 1,910$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.04 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked FUT Esports | 44c | 1,898$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.42 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Sinners | 61c | 1,797$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.84 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sinners | 34c | 1,740$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.59 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Sinners | 35c | 1,737$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.37 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Sinners | 27c | 1,735$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.2 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Sinners | 49c | 1,541$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.58 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed FUT Esports | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Sinners | 36c | 1,375$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.3 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Sinners | 45c | 1,343$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.81 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sinners | 67c | 1,259$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.99 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Sinners | 59c | 1,234$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.04 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7528…6539backed FUT Esports | 26c | 1,219$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.92 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…488cbacked FUT Esports | 29c | 1,214$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed FUT Esports | 80c | 1,212$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.81 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sinners | 55c | 1,172$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.85 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Sinners | 40c | 1,157$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.2 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed FUT Esports | 72c | 1,099$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.28 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95c2…421bbacked FUT Esports | 46c | 1,080$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…0adcbacked Sinners | 58c | 1,069$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.97 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed FUT Esports | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed FUT Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Sinners | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.99 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sinners | 43c | 989.61$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.82 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Sinners | 31c | 961.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d9…2085backed Sinners | 69c | 960$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.6 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed FUT Esports | 73c | 958.9$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…b0cabacked Sinners | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.38 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FUT Esports | 64c | 949.46$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.02 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed FUT Esports | 61c | 936.95$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573 | 160 | 38.1%61 W · 99 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sinners | 45c | 890$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.77 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Sinners | 29c | 862.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.24 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed FUT Esports | 57c | 799.98$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.99 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a2…c1c2backed FUT Esports | 63c | 793.73$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sinners | 46c | 729.1$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.49 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed Sinners | 33c | 693.04$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.08 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +12.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked FUT Esports | 2c | 676$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Sinners | 16c | 624.96$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.47 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Sinners | 24c | 600.58$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.5 | 316 | 47.5%150 W · 166 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00b…8897backed Sinners | 59c | 573.93$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.36 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked Sinners | 35c | 567.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.53 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…1e6fbacked FUT Esports | 72c | 564.64$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.54 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Sinners | 42c | 555$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.9 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…58debacked Sinners | 74c | 544.14$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.48 | 137 | 65%89 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…0c87backed FUT Esports | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed FUT Esports | 52c | 519.94$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.78 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Sinners | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed FUT Esports | 72c | 507.09$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.1 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed FUT Esports | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 321 | 36.8%118 W · 203 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Sinners | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…6e40backed FUT Esports | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +340.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Sinners | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…e67bbacked Sinners | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked FUT Esports | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6515…b867backed FUT Esports | 64c | 470.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 51cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0b16backed FUT Esports | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sinners | 61c | 453$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.83 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed FUT Esports | 65c | 448.2$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.33 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed FUT Esports | 60c | 440.91$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Sinners | 25c | 430.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.99 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed FUT Esports | 58c | 426.69$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.48 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…a142backed FUT Esports | 72c | 420$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked FUT Esports | 66c | 418.99$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.53 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed FUT Esports | 70c | 409.37$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.56 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)Sinners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.