CS2 · resolved market
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x792a9675484d5a682646f54886fcaf93f8db13814944353d65e40255e7b32565
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 44c | 953.11$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.2 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed Over | 48c | 624.63$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 57c | 543.19$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.57 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f49…2285backed Under | 53c | 124.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…13f2backed Over | 47c | 124.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Over | 47c | 124.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…b387backed Under | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 48c | 96.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…d4f1backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d6…e410backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Under | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 17c | 58.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240e…eb16backed Under | 54c | 31.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Over | 50c | 30.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)Sinners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.