CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19bdc8fa303d83ab11472c5696c6142592aa76e153965000c746ad03c170e08b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf892…8acbbacked Under | 62c | 6,328$3,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,922.12 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 34c | 4,194$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.11 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 40c | 4,129$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.97 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 71c | 3,520$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.39 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Over | 41c | 1,973$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.43 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Under | 59c | 1,162$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.47 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Over | 77c | 986.59$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.68 | 194 | 57.2%111 W · 83 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 41c | 981.99$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.85 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 980.09$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.16 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 59c | 851.27$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.15 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 41c | 792.65$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.69 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 40c | 792.65$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.59 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 21c | 591.17$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Over | 68c | 387$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.71 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Under | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 27c | 312$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 41c | 292.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 39c | 246.72$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.7 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 47c | 200.32$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.27 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 40c | 148$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e5…3b8dbacked Under | 31c | 142.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 60c | 140.22$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.83 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…d3ddbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 41c | 115$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…a8a7backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf78b…3a8abacked Under | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked Over | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 59c | 86.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 47c | 77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 47c | 77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…c546backed Over | 41c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 31c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 46c | 52.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 42c | 47.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 22c | 47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…adfdbacked Over | 66c | 45.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 59c | 44.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed Under | 60c | 30.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…f531backed Under | 67c | 28.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…7901backed Over | 40c | 26.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Under | 60c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Under | 59c | 22.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Under | 62c | 19.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)Sinners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.