TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf057…f531

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst F1 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT12760.6%77 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 127 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$64.59
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.1
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.84
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$26.79
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$13.9
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+103.9%+$41.58
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$42.08
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$15
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.63
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$54.06
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 127 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.34
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$139
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$57.96
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$25.15
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$10.65
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$20.03
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$44.18
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$31.5
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$24.5
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$16.69
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$19.65
All 25 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.