F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e71d99247d38df8e77892fdf382a62a80652e180e45acbbfb13a65f3ee12b2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c09…74bfbacked Yes | 0c | 22,434$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…4c68backed Yes | 0c | 22,434$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…1cbbbacked Yes | 0c | 22,434$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca3…1288backed Yes | 0c | 22,394$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd12…8bcfbacked Yes | 0c | 20,892$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 53c | 7,542$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.36 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 49c | 6,069$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,085.12 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…1045backed Yes | 64c | 5,895$3,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,765.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 35c | 2,735$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.61 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 47c | 2,620$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.13 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b64…aa5cbacked Yes | 46c | 2,348$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.51 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 53c | 2,244$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e9…e288backed Yes | 4c | 1,305$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked No | 44c | 1,155$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 56c | 1,011$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.53 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 58c | 960.29$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.37 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked Yes | 52c | 753.73$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.94 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e6…29c7backed Yes | 12c | 609.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…25cabacked Yes | 56c | 589.79$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…4d35backed Yes | 20c | 523.01$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 35c | 505.44$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.54 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 43c | 492.17$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.02 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 43c | 465.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.35 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Yes | 59c | 416$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f14…026ebacked Yes | 25c | 405.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed Yes | 38c | 382.03$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30f…b556backed Yes | 19c | 371.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 365.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Yes | 56c | 357.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 41c | 338$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.31 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8585…2582backed Yes | 52c | 334.27$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 42c | 282.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.92 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 47c | 269.27$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ce…c9f6backed Yes | 7c | 262.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…81d3backed Yes | 53c | 249.02$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 77c | 237.75$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 57c | 226.7$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.79 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 29c | 224.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Yes | 40c | 215.9$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…d8a7backed Yes | 31c | 208.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 57c | 203.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 38c | 203.23$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked Yes | 30c | 196.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 21c | 188.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…8f5bbacked Yes | 50c | 186.38$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…df06backed No | 43c | 185$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Yes | 55c | 179$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d1…6e8ebacked Yes | 19c | 156.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd0…9fc7backed Yes | 66c | 151.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 45c | 148.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a77…6b9fbacked Yes | 64c | 125.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 45c | 122.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4db2…448abacked Yes | 9c | 122.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 48c | 119$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 19c | 118$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked Yes | 17c | 118$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 54c | 100.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed No | 39c | 100.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +286.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…a5eabacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7632…7a11backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…6367backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…6007backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…d211backed Yes | 44c | 90.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 35c | 90.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 55c | 87.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9da…5f42backed No | 62c | 87.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 51c | 87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Yes | 67c | 85.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 61c | 85.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 80.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0f…abc1backed Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Yes | 61c | 79.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…7242backed Yes | 48c | 77.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…5d96backed No | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 21c | 73.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3371backed Yes | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b1…cf86backed No | 58c | 71.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…4073backed Yes | 16c | 70.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +191.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes | 25c | 68.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dd…af8bbacked No | 40c | 67.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…a399backed Yes | 45c | 64.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…d389backed Yes | 32c | 63.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c7…fb64backed Yes | 28c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…f531backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…b548backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 41c | 56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 59c | 52.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 45c | 50.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…0016backed Yes | 69c | 50.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…ffa2backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 35c | 49.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…01f3backed Yes | 44c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed No | 46c | 43.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.