TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x14e6…29c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: World Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 58 out of 100; worst F1 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.3
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+71%+$75.96
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$45
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.5
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$48
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.61
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.5
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$102
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$56
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$118.8
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.7
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+64%+$63.1
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.5
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$95.76
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.99
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$203.7
All 23 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Oscar Piastri achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.9
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$144.57
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.93
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26.84
Will Oscar Piastri achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14.11
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+755.8%+$151.17
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick23cpaid+185.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.