F1 · resolved market
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9b9aa2768d8bd96f3e3667474f6bc4c20b6da46f3a8e3b40e9b044180143d22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Yes | 49c | 3,200$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 6c | 3,060$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9b…6e75backed Yes | 49c | 2,263$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…f6b3backed Yes | 10c | 1,187$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 51c | 785.65$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.17 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 2c | 699.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 69c | 636.11$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.33 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed No | 50c | 470.3$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.75 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +5.2wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 51c | 420.7$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.18 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 5c | 418.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e6…29c7backed Yes | 5c | 319.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b33…9b98backed Yes | 51c | 313.96$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 271.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 51c | 249.45$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Yes | 8c | 206.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 49c | 194.52$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 50c | 185.04$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8528…d446backed Yes | 10c | 155.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf2…45c5backed Yes | 9c | 138.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa30…bfdebacked Yes | 15c | 132.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed No | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 73c | 110.56$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 60c | 109.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2a…1187backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…e387backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f1…a9a8backed No | 51c | 98.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ac…3e47backed Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c9…616fbacked No | 65c | 30.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa8…026dbacked No | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 50c | 23.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…3dc5backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.