TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,182
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,466

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,182 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee00…cea1backed No54c10,558$5,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,856.865255.8%29 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Yes46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6001050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No40c4,612$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,764.8412246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked No61c3,911$2,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes22c1,909$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4182321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb5…7046backed Yes29c1,786$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No62c1,743$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.26051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked No52c1,578$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.616732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No41c1,341$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.8213219.7%26 W · 106 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d68…f0bebacked Yes24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-75.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ee6…6887backed Yes35c1,125$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.561717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No57c1,125$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.8112646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x613e…cb44backed Yes60c1,045$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.3870%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Yes47c1,017$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes62c972.08$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x301e…3f91backed Yes39c800$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb166…7ba1backed Yes49c796.6$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.711421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-71.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Yes41c749.98$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes41c650$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.54936.7%18 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd142…5c9ebacked Yes43c650$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-60.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No46c628.98$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3387133.8%24 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d7b…6e23backed Yes47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc77…c035backed No71c574.71$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.21837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3844…7285backed Yes47c487$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.896523.1%15 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed No53c443.96$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.666845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ad…578fbacked Yes59c426.64$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No58c426.51$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.779165.9%60 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked No41c400.03$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.834472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+39.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No35c391.72$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.6612353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No61c386.6$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7821337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes39c384.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503534.3%12 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb663…bedfbacked Yes40c378.2$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.281711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…d95cbacked No64c362.64$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Yes46c354.61$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.226246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5d3…38a4backed Yes69c349.39$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid+11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b33…9b98backed Yes49c342.77$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.61936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+51.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73dc…8d32backed No42c300.32$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.931258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes12c286.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.643766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No64c278.26$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.986966.7%46 W · 23 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a2a…1187backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-79.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes23c250$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.55922%13 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0c…3bf9backed Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No44c199.98$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.993040%12 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7bc…096ebacked Yes62c185.11$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.77812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-83.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No51c168.12$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.811266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2655…eaa4backed Yes53c166.05$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4240%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dc2…8c7fbacked Yes62c161.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No56c152.37$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.644673.9%34 W · 12 L+8.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+28.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Yes15c150.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.147733.8%26 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93dc…896fbacked Yes39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ea…7f0dbacked Yes40c149.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea43…1217backed Yes55c136.69$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No62c130.76$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.985763.2%36 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43ac…86d0backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ff…fa1bbacked No61c127$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.68850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda10…eeccbacked Yes40c124.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+199%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes61c116.58$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.125337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Yes54c113.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.271040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9539…e9bbbacked Yes46c108.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-50.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x482b…3266backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc689…ad74backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e5…3a31backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb0…3b23backed Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67dc…a64bbacked Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-54%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No45c92.13$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.227659.2%45 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed No50c91.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.26742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c5b…f8cabacked Yes44c90.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.111225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-48.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1352…4da4backed Yes56c89.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8528…d446backed No69c87.78$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.212433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45cd…26a5backed Yes47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No69c81.87$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.383571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xabf2…45c5backed Yes26c76.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Yes36c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.41127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-55.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x995c…8770backed No75c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.52250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cdb…529dbacked Yes62c70$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.480%0 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce40…becbbacked Yes41c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d1…aa62backed No43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Yes61c62.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d9…ff3cbacked Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-47.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x524d…d12bbacked Yes18c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Yes43c57.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc0…47e5backed Yes27c56.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick35cpaid-6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked No53c55.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.393571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d68…3786backed Yes58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27be…63adbacked Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd99f…e107backed Yes29c51.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cf…9a0fbacked Yes59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4430…f40ebacked No40c50.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.57475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+64.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Yes55c50.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-51.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5657…78aebacked Yes60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick74cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6974…1287backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa811…dc76backed Yes47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…409abacked Yes39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.