F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd0584cc42c7869bc28d977a951086549c08fd89c42a5515154508dd51a1ca49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 61c | 5,366$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.22 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 4,513$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9b…6e75backed No | 55c | 4,119$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…963abacked Yes | 45c | 2,003$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 55c | 1,897$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.1 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 47c | 1,800$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.49 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…6e23backed Yes | 30c | 1,582$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59a2…1f0bbacked No | 28c | 1,439$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.82 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…6887backed No | 48c | 933$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.84 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 626.35$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.52 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 52c | 606.88$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.27 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 72c | 603$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.16 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 17c | 600$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 52c | 556.38$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 37c | 544.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 39c | 487.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.55 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed No | 37c | 483.07$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.43 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97a9…107abacked Yes | 66c | 480.31$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 69c | 463.53$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.83 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dd…63c9backed No | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…1287backed Yes | 65c | 308.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 70c | 302.91$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.43 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed No | 30c | 298.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 28c | 258.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 70c | 251$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2a…1187backed Yes | 80c | 203.83$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 44c | 200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes | 71c | 179.21$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 32c | 155.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 44cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 24c | 122.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Yes | 57c | 118.26$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ef…9a31backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 64c | 82.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 24c | 74.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…75aebacked Yes | 73c | 74.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a7…dd91backed Yes | 42c | 66.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 28c | 64.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…e38bbacked Yes | 31c | 64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…2bd1backed Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed Yes | 26c | 59.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 33c | 51.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054c…023dbacked No | 40c | 49.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cd…26a5backed Yes | 44c | 45.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995c…8770backed Yes | 64c | 44.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc72c…4b39backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 21cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d68…3786backed Yes | 75c | 34.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c9…616fbacked Yes | 77c | 25.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ae…b202backed Yes | 79c | 25.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f0…3f59backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.