TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc72c…4b39

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: F1, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50.12
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$13
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-62.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.54
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO1)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$45
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+103.4%+$62.04
LoL: Los Ratones vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+36.2%+$10.87
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will FlyQuest win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
MSI Playoffs: Anyone's Legend vs. FlyQuestbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.36
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. G2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.56
All 14 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick21cpaid+123.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
F1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23.7
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+233.3%+$70
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$22
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+900%+$132.87
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$78
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 3 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$53.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA say "Trump" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.