TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,681

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,973 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes61c8,000$4,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12015044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No39c7,008$2,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,732.979450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.798461.9%52 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Yes61c2,027$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.532445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes10c1,927$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.961136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+50.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No39c1,263$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.953246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No44c1,045$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.7283939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3905058%29 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes60c952$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.1430634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No41c919.76$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.271,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8643…0f54backed No42c906.68$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.812828.6%8 W · 20 L-6.9wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-52.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed No39c876.99$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.0311333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes60c837.48$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.484540%18 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Yes40c800$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.11442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c654.64$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.563,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes61c651.98$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.0412236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No39c651.52$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.548433.3%28 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No21c568.27$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2158548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No38c457.52$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.866764.2%43 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No35c422.55$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1229946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed No45c408.33$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18216342.3%69 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1963441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+45.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No14c368.12$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7455941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked No20c360.88$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7810039%39 W · 61 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No13c339.68$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.329134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f6…e46cbacked Yes50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11764046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Yes14c257.14$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.144425%11 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No40c252.64$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.587156.3%40 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No32c229.45$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.412744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes12c208.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.337625%19 W · 57 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed No39c206.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.473246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8015147%71 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b9…6ae2backed Yes55c178.18$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.18771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Yes21c178.1$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.924744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80f0…6deebacked Yes77c174.77$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.771758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.494454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c6e…81ebbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x677e…5072backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.297361.6%45 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes59c160$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.620255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6564…8846backed Yes55c136.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.362227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked No39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed No39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9a…c3f4backed No39c127$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5011656.9%66 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes60c108.33$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3313263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No40c103.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.624047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No39c101$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8912656.3%71 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes41c100.89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.285152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555440.7%22 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes58c99.98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9911559.1%68 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes62c98.59$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9414233.8%48 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No64c98.57$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4157252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Yes59c91$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.313043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed Yes60c90.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.983053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b09…aca6backed Yes44c90$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.54751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Yes60c90$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked Yes58c87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.542842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc098…ae47backed Yes60c83.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff7d…37e8backed Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.653046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Yes61c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.23762.2%23 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddaa…2c2abacked No53c76.13$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed No39c71.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2816446.3%76 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes59c71$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.113946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No15c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.512727.6%35 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6719544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12cf…4eeebacked Yes60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5742158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Yes32c63.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.443751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e47…bfd5backed Yes30c61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+69.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes59c55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.552744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2922…0781backed Yes60c55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92a5…eb80backed Yes61c50.82$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.826852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked No43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.511249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f8…5a8ebacked Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4c…12b2backed Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…5cf7backed No41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No42c47.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.89158.2%53 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked No35c45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.663040%12 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes59c44.7$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2574457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.373256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb42a…0156backed Yes61c41.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.151127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0619662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf164…e98fbacked Yes61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7633…e5b7backed Yes59c40.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.824546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21bc…62d0backed Yes34c39.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.63425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4617458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc72c…4b39backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Yes54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-46.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes54c37.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0211350.4%57 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd121…b0a5backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91625%4 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb11a…023cbacked Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2f18backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92532%8 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No39c33.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2320452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…4985backed Yes60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.337541.3%31 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No40c33.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3383650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…98d2backed Yes60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.793537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.