La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d9e5ffce65efc3b02978eecf55f11d6fa9df442908bcf9e11bb1c6928824026
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 1,319$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.41 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 61c | 814.75$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.75 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 8c | 518.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 77c | 431$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 77c | 400.4$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 382.01$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.09 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 66c | 380.02$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.84 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 17c | 269.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 41c | 242.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.75 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b6…accbbacked Yes | 16c | 225$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed No | 58c | 224.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 69c | 203.02$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 198.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed No | 77c | 141$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 57c | 125.42$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 75c | 97.67$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed No | 76c | 96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed No | 77c | 83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce11…4a49backed Yes | 25c | 80.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 24c | 79.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked No | 76c | 77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed No | 77c | 68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 31c | 56.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…9e94backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed No | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed No | 33c | 40.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21bc…62d0backed Yes | 25c | 39.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed No | 77c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 70c | 34.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Yes | 59c | 31.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…dbb5backed Yes | 66c | 30.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…d63fbacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-14?No won
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.