TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b79…d63f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT4827.1%13 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-40.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$285.92
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$65.88
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+402.2%+$213.15
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$48
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+186.9%+$654.2
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.29
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81%+$45.36
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$46.09
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+129.6%+$984.36
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.8
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.04
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.02
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$416
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.04
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$62.56
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+300%+$120
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$90.41
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.35
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$93.61
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+146.9%+$60.21
Will SSC Napoli vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+126.6%+$280.44
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
Club Brugge KV vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$39.65
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50.36
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$337.58
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+163.2%+$81.58
Real Madrid CF vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20.03
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.68
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.82
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$77.9
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$20.92
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$65.46
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$89.71
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+455.6%+$113.89
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+144.5%+$650.13
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$13.6
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$94.98
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$49.73
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$12.94
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$489.14
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25%+$16.81
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+132.6%+$29.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.