TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,615,577
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,675,244

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,615,577 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 650 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd25c…4d20backed Yes60c1,059,908$639,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420,311.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No39c705,555$278,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278,666.44616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-77.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No40c223,349$89,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,306.171560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes61c62,913$38,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,843.5924044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed No42c50,993$21,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,192.66520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No40c50,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes61c39,074$23,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,13514337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No39c36,638$14,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,156.1252550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No40c25,350$10,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,139.864940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No46c20,873$9,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,664.9171140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No40c20,798$8,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,253.4487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No39c20,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,799.982540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No40c18,888$7,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,555.23246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c17,410$7,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,276.61,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No40c15,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.9913348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes54c10,618$5,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,884.221457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes61c9,630$5,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,726.579747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No43c8,552$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7005757.9%33 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No39c7,933$3,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,093.751656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed No39c7,500$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,960450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No26c7,117$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.41,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No39c6,754$2,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.3862648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes66c6,442$4,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,171.248649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33d…2a72backed Yes61c5,735$3,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,236.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes50c4,997$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,498.551631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No45c4,886$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.237638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes47c4,251$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,253.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No48c4,048$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.14728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked No41c4,000$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.66757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked No78c3,872$3,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,010.61862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No40c3,594$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.741952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked No38c3,421$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes61c3,279$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.692343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No38c3,047$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.4435650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed No38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1401457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+68.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6603910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.996648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No40c2,835$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1345040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes54c2,635$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.164833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No39c2,562$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.728448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf03d…088cbacked Yes60c2,349$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f05…4480backed Yes60c2,315$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc6…ac13backed Yes53c2,315$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No55c2,274$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2507741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No40c2,259$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.791838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No39c2,159$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.0621143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No29c2,025$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.951323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No39c1,970$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.251546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+42.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes52c1,915$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.382744.4%12 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes60c1,897$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.674645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No37c1,770$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.82227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes75c1,695$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.2418046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.95151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60017329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.999140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No40c1,355$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.5915455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No23c1,307$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.534330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No39c1,300$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No40c1,283$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.9320150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked No39c1,259$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4973447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed No42c1,245$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.96141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ca…2d2cbacked Yes61c1,220$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-45%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes47c1,182$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.344723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89cf…5f47backed Yes49c1,131$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes62c1,100$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4183148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x703c…ae21backed Yes60c1,075$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed No38c1,066$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.221030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.242060%12 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes19c1,000$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+62.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed No40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked Yes61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3802744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3802835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed No41c975.61$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes59c967.57$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.571241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes78c960.38$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.0826346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed No54c923.14$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked No30c920.94$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked No40c895$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-68.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Yes60c848.5$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+115.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes76c838.11$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.141154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes61c836$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.681163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+51.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Yes59c835.59$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16c8…6632backed Yes62c810.47$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9985…a45cbacked Yes62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes61c800$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3124746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Yes63c791.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.33850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes57c771.22$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.2226040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed No41c764.76$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes78c695$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.98976.4%68 W · 21 L+17.9wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+32.8%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes52c692.31$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.311154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc57a…fe9fbacked Yes51c683.27$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Yes52c673.08$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed No42c624.55$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.312548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes61c602.46$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.963748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f60…5fe1backed Yes60c597.9$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked No42c595$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No39c575.42$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.788942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.