TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,233
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,233 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8566…c626backed No72c14,468$10,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,051.131136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-47.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c11,756$3,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,268.11,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No79c10,139$8,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.194940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked No69c8,303$5,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,573.811258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick70cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes21c6,970$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes19c6,510$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.621,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes23c4,400$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0121747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes21c3,191$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.5287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No78c2,500$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.992642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes26c2,247$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.3271140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes56c1,839$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.633650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked Yes12c1,670$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.39540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No77c1,610$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.393351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes31c1,594$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.0640%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes22c1,450$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.7515455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Yes27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-61.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd61…8190backed Yes31c1,087$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc4b…7b6fbacked No79c1,077$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No36c1,067$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.7926660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed No62c867.46$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.06966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…7c0ebacked No78c851.06$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes18c829.28$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503619.4%7 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ca…2d2cbacked Yes25c807.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-45%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes15c800$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.86518.5%12 W · 53 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89cf…5f47backed Yes10c713$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes16c696$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.361323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Yes15c668.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes22c663.68$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.016446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes15c642.51$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3811725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Yes19c569.45$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.744330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.998046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x258d…cd31backed Yes21c486.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007031.4%22 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes22c419.87$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.172147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes22c412.48$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904136.6%15 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No71c396.09$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.629535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes21c385$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.135037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No77c382$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8617043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed No79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.753759.5%22 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes23c347.83$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805135.3%18 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c332.82$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No79c327$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8316242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked No70c315$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.095343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc2…f122backed No65c314.16$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6314045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes22c272.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6026550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No77c240$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.223260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No77c240$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.213655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes21c221.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0829949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No77c215.99$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6817756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes19c214.55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.81915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No79c213$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.731154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d9…f193backed Yes40c212.08$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+41.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No78c210$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.29051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked No36c209.9$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.943167.7%21 W · 10 L+7.5wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+70.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x16c8…6632backed Yes64c204.76$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes21c203$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6328448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4614452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x95d7…fe65backed Yes29c185.9$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.64333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes21c185.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3914247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No77c184$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3211556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes44c181.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes22c181.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.895745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No77c180$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.410948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No75c179$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.224170.7%29 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+54.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Yes18c159.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.911931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes21c158.24$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.238942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Yes62c154.84$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes27c150.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63d6…bafbbacked Yes40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Yes27c148.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes18c140.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8518046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes26c134.95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5837638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfef3…41f2backed Yes46c134.5$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Yes19c132.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes15c128.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.828333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7104…8cffbacked Yes47c126.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes14c124.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.427648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No77c120$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.69752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No78c118.49$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6911916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Yes22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257231.9%23 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No69c112.87$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6535650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x800c…e4c6backed Yes30c110.05$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+58.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No77c109.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7920232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e14…1511backed Yes65c109.51$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.991471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+42.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes23c109.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4522854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes22c109.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3747…41bebacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dca…4bc5backed Yes41c105$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb56…efa6backed Yes39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314122%9 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.67540%30 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.