TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pelicans, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,103,601
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,180,523

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,103,601 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,503 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Pelicans38c153,408$57,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,889.6421057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Pelicans37c138,343$51,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,186.854539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Pacers63c117,617$74,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,518.2914358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pacers63c112,299$70,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,917.051,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc3…9ab5backed Pelicans38c100,671$38,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,254.86728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Pacers62c80,000$49,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,40043148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2db…aa08backed Pelicans38c76,800$29,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,1841442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Pacers59c50,142$29,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,558.2651844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Pelicans25c50,000$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,50038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pacers62c45,851$28,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,423.431,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Pelicans41c40,000$16,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,399.8419653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Pacers62c39,172$24,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,885.5240446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Pacers62c35,000$21,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,299.9419751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Pacers62c31,365$19,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,918.7392753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaba…51debacked Pelicans38c31,005$11,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,738.9610947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Pacers62c30,561$19,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,529.6437557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Pacers63c30,000$18,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,199.9915247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Pelicans36c29,997$10,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,898.8914243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pacers62c26,400$16,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,03259347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans1c26,010$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.011,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Pelicans14c25,781$3,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,626.8610448.1%50 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans39c25,477$9,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,877.632,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Pacers62c25,005$15,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,501.8223245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67eb…7ed0backed Pelicans42c23,811$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000.43650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pelicans3c23,418$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.91,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a2…1aabbacked Pelicans37c21,333$7,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,995.272020%4 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pacers61c20,926$12,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,258.962,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Pelicans37c20,000$7,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,399.8831445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pacers58c19,622$11,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,305.752,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Pacers60c18,975$11,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,589.9959646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Pelicans14c18,430$2,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,533.841,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pelicans41c18,148$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Pelicans38c18,000$6,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,919.9974748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans21c17,361$3,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,561.274,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pacers73c17,313$12,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,701.755,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Pelicans41c16,285$6,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,712.6628742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Pelicans38c16,000$6,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,08012657.1%72 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Pacers63c15,873$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,873.0224549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Pacers66c15,167$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,166.676540%26 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed Pacers62c15,000$9,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7001850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Pelicans38c15,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,70020551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Pelicans38c15,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.8815740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Pacers68c14,825$10,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,684.762864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Pelicans42c14,620$6,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,084.8436741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f2…c7c7backed Pelicans41c12,000$4,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,92020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5941…42d1backed Pacers58c12,000$6,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans36c11,811$4,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,203.292,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Pacers63c11,111$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,111.0724554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Pelicans43c10,555$4,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,538.6220349.8%101 W · 102 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Pelicans38c10,005$3,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,801.915841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Pacers59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1005749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Pelicans42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2002540%10 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers60c9,747$5,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,863.246,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1baa…173dbacked Pelicans28c9,007$2,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,558.671136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers61c8,416$5,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,256.454,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Pacers62c8,084$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,084.0256453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pacers61c8,046$4,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,144.0772450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Pelicans38c7,910$3,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,005.695541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Pacers63c7,007$4,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,592.5828439.8%113 W · 171 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Pacers58c7,000$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,94014945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Pelicans40c6,947$2,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,805.5748944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Pelicans41c6,800$2,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,78814055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Pelicans39c6,619$2,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,581.4532039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pacers56c6,545$3,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,892.8777348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Pacers67c6,270$4,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.42166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans14c5,958$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.461,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Pacers63c5,550$3,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.510949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers77c5,252$4,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.592,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Pacers71c5,165$3,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.69953.5%53 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa9…c084backed Pacers60c5,034$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.481650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pelicans0c4,950$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed Pacers61c4,687$2,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.892941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb470…aa7bbacked Pelicans39c4,446$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x903c…22c7backed Pacers62c4,239$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.83650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd864…497ebacked Pelicans38c4,153$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.864042.5%17 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Pelicans38c4,004$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.5228643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c9c…74b3backed Pelicans38c4,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5202653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pacers61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5601,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pelicans27c3,729$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.721,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2953…5344backed Pacers58c3,621$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.822568%17 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans37c3,620$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.391,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Pelicans40c3,608$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.1471547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans26c3,591$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.048,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e9…66ebbacked Pacers60c3,535$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.08850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53bc…579cbacked Pacers57c3,505$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Pelicans44c3,500$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5409740.2%39 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d26…1c15backed Pacers60c3,417$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.6722459.4%133 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf5…f3e9backed Pacers61c3,412$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.76742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9333…3fa5backed Pacers59c3,367$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.271855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Pelicans31c3,288$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.8613339.1%52 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans16c3,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.593,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Pacers60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20018747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Pelicans38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Pelicans4c2,914$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3727917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b6…accbbacked Pelicans45c2,781$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.343863.2%24 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans18c2,753$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.052,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers60c2,664$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.829,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x283d…1e84backed Pelicans40c2,664$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.8212056.7%68 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ebf…e50fbacked Pelicans39c2,647$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03665144.5%290 W · 361 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Pelicans38c2,635$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.3533735.3%119 W · 218 L+1.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.