TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,798
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,595

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,798 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9315…a744backed Over48c30,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,6006767.2%45 W · 22 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe427…a00abacked Under52c30,000$15,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,6001050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c15,764$7,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,385.869,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over56c8,500$4,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,739.9943148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over54c8,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,679.981,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under46c7,631$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,510.162,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c6,084$3,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,955.572,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Over54c4,673$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.574548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x258e…eb60backed Under53c4,328$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,293.84520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c55…137abacked Under53c4,313$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.8950%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf717…d4b6backed Under53c4,295$2,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1500…b1b2backed Under53c4,095$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.35425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over54c4,067$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.6665750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under48c3,878$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,86012341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd508…c612backed Under53c3,153$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.09520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7d6…656dbacked Under53c3,051$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.0340%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41016641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over50c2,485$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.43,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5c…ef51backed Under53c2,300$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf1e…bdcdbacked Over47c2,300$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf907…f3a0backed Under53c2,284$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Under52c2,243$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.3823250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee6…7a90backed Over47c1,933$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.49540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…162fbacked Over47c1,915$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65e8…3f45backed Under53c1,910$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x474e…d3b9backed Over47c1,899$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.47520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf028…2336backed Over47c1,879$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.87580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dc7…cdb0backed Under53c1,798$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.94616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5782…f844backed Over47c1,776$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over48c1,758$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.1544352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c1,539$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.168,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a9…4289backed Over47c1,338$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea37…10e8backed Over47c1,286$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x532f…6997backed Over47c1,269$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3b…65a5backed Over47c1,266$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x689f…ce9bbacked Over47c1,178$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa52d…ada2backed Over47c1,172$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76e0…e446backed Over47c1,165$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.45650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…a405backed Over54c1,165$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.93961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over47c1,163$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.391,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Under53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60017540.6%71 W · 104 L-0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc4…7873backed Over47c1,132$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28d2…3821backed Over47c1,126$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.78633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b8f…be25backed Over47c1,110$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xece0…e984backed Over47c1,048$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a2…c8f0backed Over47c1,044$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.32450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb647…181fbacked Over47c1,029$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7a…4886backed Over47c994$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.82825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c971$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.76,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over50c885.16$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.5823850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa537…ce68backed Over47c877$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.81450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe5…de9fbacked Over47c844$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42417953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27667252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d5…e637backed Over47c572$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under46c571.09$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.747542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4de…8dddbacked Over47c508$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26541052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc970…e745backed Over47c480$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c457.08$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.634,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Over51c442$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.788156.8%46 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over48c424.94$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9736351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18459144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c368.36$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.134,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Under46c350$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16116549.7%82 W · 83 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x705c…6762backed Over47c324$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa985…1ebfbacked Under53c238.55$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.43650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under47c227.66$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under46c226.43$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.552,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c1c…3143backed Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bbf…b7febacked Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under46c195.65$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.951,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fdd…23d8backed Over49c164.57$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9310454.8%57 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Under26c149.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9310840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over80c120.48$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1983039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over52c109$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9868940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under13c105.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.381,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4655533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8159…ed58backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026246.6%122 W · 140 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under46c92.52$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.562,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Under53c90.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under53c83.02$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4442551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under53c83.02$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4441354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Under47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.647948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…db4bbacked Under46c76.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357255.6%40 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Under48c72.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.689642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under51c64.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.893,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under51c63.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.321,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over55c58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.142143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under46c50.26$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1287453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under51c50.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.523,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58d5…c64cbacked Under48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-45.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under40c46.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.541,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…58fcbacked Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207440.5%30 W · 44 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b3b…6685backed Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under49c40.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.424645.9%113 W · 133 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.