TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pacers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pacers, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,708

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,432 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans44c15,088$6,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5903,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pacers56c9,691$5,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,263.8666853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pacers59c6,222$3,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,551.892,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers53c3,564$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.689,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef25…5e66backed Pacers54c3,560$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans44c3,534$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.416,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc4…7873backed Pacers53c3,335$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5782…f844backed Pacers54c3,331$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca8…0005backed Pacers54c3,319$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.74580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+58%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1d0…8853backed Pacers54c3,240$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2f…7516backed Pacers54c3,226$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe5…de9fbacked Pacers53c3,100$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4de…8dddbacked Pacers54c3,073$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d80…3996backed Pacers54c3,072$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.12683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+63.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa991…77a5backed Pacers54c2,974$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.04650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pelicans44c2,600$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.242,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c5c…ef51backed Pelicans47c2,522$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.34520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7b8…6271backed Pacers53c2,416$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa1…b200backed Pacers53c2,365$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Pacers54c2,280$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.841553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc29b…776cbacked Pelicans47c2,259$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.73425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c13…f4d8backed Pacers53c2,240$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf1e…bdcdbacked Pelicans47c2,201$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.47540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pelicans47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Pacers53c2,128$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00011753%62 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pacers56c2,073$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.642,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d5c…99bbbacked Pelicans47c2,048$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e58…b499backed Pacers53c2,009$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.23450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x753b…3d0fbacked Pacers54c1,685$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.11163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21d2…d3ebbacked Pelicans46c1,685$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.12050%10 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Pacers58c1,300$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55116053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20bd…4c3dbacked Pelicans46c1,272$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.12520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3b…65a5backed Pelicans47c1,260$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec0…f7aabacked Pelicans48c1,210$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.9914254.9%78 W · 64 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e22…d265backed Pelicans46c1,181$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.26520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x689f…ce9bbacked Pelicans47c1,168$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c55…137abacked Pelicans47c1,116$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.5250%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3ac…5afabacked Pelicans46c1,107$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e76…db38backed Pelicans46c1,044$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb647…181fbacked Pelicans47c1,027$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.69666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa974…162fbacked Pelicans47c937$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.39560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf731…8f60backed Pelicans46c920$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…d5c7backed Pelicans46c915$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b2…ff3cbacked Pelicans46c900$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7d6…656dbacked Pelicans47c891$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.7740%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3888…79d3backed Pelicans46c880$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0846…f70abacked Pelicans46c860$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf907…f3a0backed Pelicans46c845$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd113…905dbacked Pelicans46c840$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65e8…3f45backed Pelicans46c833.97$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.63540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54c…27adbacked Pelicans46c831$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.26425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dc7…cdb0backed Pelicans46c829$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.34616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6224…4cb6backed Pelicans46c822$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bfc…e459backed Pelicans46c820$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Pelicans45c814.93$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.7251146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3de…0235backed Pelicans46c814$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.44425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7a…4886backed Pelicans46c812$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.52825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb75d…5befbacked Pelicans46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…3955backed Pelicans46c798$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a9…4289backed Pelicans46c796$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…8cfcbacked Pelicans46c783$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.18520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecb8…b4c3backed Pelicans46c780$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc970…e745backed Pelicans46c779$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8c…023dbacked Pelicans46c767$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x705c…6762backed Pelicans46c763$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf653…3e31backed Pelicans46c751$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.46633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d5…e637backed Pelicans46c746$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd8e…94c6backed Pelicans46c736$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x945c…961ebacked Pelicans46c720$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21cd…5471backed Pelicans46c700$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans43c644.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.918,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Pacers55c638.02$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.0250954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Pelicans43c564$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.521,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pelicans44c531$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.641,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x240d…a928backed Pelicans48c524.62$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016440.9%67 W · 97 L-13.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Pelicans45c454$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.320741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Pelicans41c436.99$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.2268940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Pacers52c381.25$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.2562546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans48c356.25$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1714,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fff…4107backed Pacers54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans42c249.29$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.132,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x177c…3525backed Pacers54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f5dbacked Pacers54c210$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Pelicans44c176$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4414742.2%62 W · 85 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Pelicans42c149.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639953.5%53 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Pelicans46c99.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4966143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Pelicans44c95.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.12,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Pelicans46c81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.571,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Pacers58c76$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.927651.3%39 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f0…327cbacked Pacers57c68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.243961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Pelicans47c47.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1188845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Pelicans30c43.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1521642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Pacers54c40.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6650351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Pacers55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pacers52c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.282,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Pelicans45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516935.5%60 W · 109 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Pacers58c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.445152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Pelicans48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Pacers57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.987950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pacers58c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.663,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.