TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,890
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,890 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x705c…6762backed Under46c7,932$3,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,648.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a9…4289backed Over54c7,932$4,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,648.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd113…905dbacked Over53c7,700$4,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,619450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d5…e637backed Under46c7,156$3,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,291.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7a…4886backed Over54c7,156$3,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,291.76825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dc7…cdb0backed Over54c6,382$3,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,935.72616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf907…f3a0backed Over54c6,376$3,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,932.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4de…8dddbacked Under46c6,362$2,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,926.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5782…f844backed Under46c6,362$2,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,926.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc970…e745backed Under46c6,008$2,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,763.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65e8…3f45backed Over54c6,008$3,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,763.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bfc…e459backed Over53c3,578$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8c…023dbacked Over54c3,448$1,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee6…7a90backed Over54c3,328$1,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b8f…be25backed Over54c3,326$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.96580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf653…3e31backed Over54c3,143$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xece0…e984backed Over54c3,085$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf028…2336backed Over54c3,074$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aa1…b200backed Under46c2,800$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d5c…99bbbacked Over54c2,650$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3888…79d3backed Under47c2,600$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf1e…bdcdbacked Under46c2,450$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0846…f70abacked Under47c2,438$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc29b…776cbacked Over54c2,300$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e58…b499backed Under46c2,200$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over53c2,146$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.2650754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Over55c2,050$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92341553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c13…f4d8backed Over54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b8…6271backed Over54c1,900$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c1,878$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.119,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b2…ff3cbacked Under47c1,552$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c5c…ef51backed Under46c1,400$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28d2…3821backed Under46c1,279$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.34633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea37…10e8backed Under46c1,268$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.28520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60016633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76e0…e446backed Under46c1,182$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.72650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa52d…ada2backed Under46c1,180$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf717…d4b6backed Under46c1,124$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf731…8f60backed Under47c1,110$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x258e…eb60backed Under46c1,104$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.84520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86a2…c8f0backed Under46c1,053$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.38450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa537…ce68backed Under46c1,037$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.02450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75d…5befbacked Under47c958$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.26425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x474e…d3b9backed Under46c934$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.64520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x532f…6997backed Under46c925$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c921$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.628,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb8…b4c3backed Under47c904$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa54c…27adbacked Under46c890$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Under44c872.13$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38023845%107 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3de…0235backed Under46c871$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef25…5e66backed Under47c870$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd508…c612backed Under46c853$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.38520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…3955backed Under46c853$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d0…8853backed Under47c846$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.62425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1500…b1b2backed Under46c841$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e3…8cfcbacked Under46c834$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.64520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x945c…961ebacked Under46c816$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.36520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd8e…94c6backed Under46c797$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.62540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under44c785.87$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.781,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c2f…7516backed Under46c778.96$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over56c777.02$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.892,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa991…77a5backed Under46c760$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4752…cfa0backed Under48c700$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Under50c580$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under45c307.02$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.153,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9626150.2%131 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Over54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.423748.1%114 W · 123 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over59c168.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9811945.4%54 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under43c133.66$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8888845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ac…64e1backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505151%26 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5950351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under44c86.57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.920741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03b0…482cbacked Over60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.35160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under44c78.36$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.482,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under41c76.87$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2268940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Over58c57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.943056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Over58c56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.524957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bea…6ce6backed Over58c53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.264261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7563…1fb3backed Over57c49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.073658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda14…8efdbacked Under48c45.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.851758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0791…b6c7backed Under30c42.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.871127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84c6…f8afbacked Under42c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.73240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f53…1ddcbacked Under42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.63441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x73a3…dac6backed Under43c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.183743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeff8…1bcfbacked Over58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.