TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pacers (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pacers, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$294,417
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$295,095

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,417 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Pacers53c197,913$104,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,145.6120055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Pelicans47c42,553$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00044352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pelicans47c35,463$16,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,805.112,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans48c29,766$14,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,278.263,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans48c23,715$11,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,298.359,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Pacers51c18,691$9,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,158.3510252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Pelicans47c16,473$7,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,742.1771547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Pelicans47c15,747$7,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,40140350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Pelicans47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70048347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans47c9,012$4,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,261.136,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bde…ca3abacked Pacers50c7,922$3,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,960.832462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee9f…b134backed Pelicans50c7,922$3,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,960.832030%6 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans46c5,191$2,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,398.748,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d76…96cebacked Pacers50c4,809$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,404.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Pacers53c4,673$2,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,196.3158449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Pelicans47c4,615$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16912151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd26…0dd6backed Pacers50c4,581$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Pelicans47c4,100$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9271,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb75d…5befbacked Pacers50c3,672$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d5…e637backed Pacers50c3,588$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc29b…776cbacked Pelicans51c3,365$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.15425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecb8…b4c3backed Pacers50c3,328$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d5c…99bbbacked Pelicans51c3,135$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Pelicans49c3,066$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans47c3,024$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.285,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d78…d82ebacked Pelicans48c2,930$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.11050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Pelicans47c2,625$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.7558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Pelicans47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1752138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x605a…4576backed Pelicans50c2,065$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.481361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1828…cca5backed Pacers50c2,065$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.481457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd54b…c312backed Pelicans50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Pacers49c1,950$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.7811753%62 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd56d…bd7dbacked Pacers56c1,800$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.998647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c3…248abacked Pacers50c1,750$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65e8…3f45backed Pacers50c1,708$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Pelicans47c1,702$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80011351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Pelicans47c1,596$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75016442.1%69 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e28…c195backed Pacers56c1,568$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.13650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x897d…4753backed Pelicans50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ec…5045backed Pelicans50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Pelicans44c1,434$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.951,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pacers55c1,336$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.22,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Pelicans45c1,306$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.6618553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Pacers50c1,300$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6505749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17b5…cb54backed Pelicans50c1,284$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5c…ef51backed Pacers49c1,279$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.29520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Pelicans47c1,277$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf1e…bdcdbacked Pacers49c1,185$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…5e91backed Pelicans51c1,178$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pelicans47c1,117$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.992,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa885…aa15backed Pelicans50c1,115$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b8…6271backed Pacers49c1,107$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.57475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans47c1,049$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.452,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4114…fc35backed Pelicans50c1,037$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e58…b499backed Pacers49c1,036$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.36450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Pelicans46c1,024$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.8413248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pelicans47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Pelicans49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49026755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcc1…2279backed Pacers50c950$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf731…8f60backed Pelicans50c950$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76b2…ff3cbacked Pelicans50c929$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa1…b200backed Pacers49c929$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Pacers54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9321152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb62…f244backed Pelicans50c910$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3888…79d3backed Pelicans50c907$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0846…f70abacked Pelicans50c886$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7a…4886backed Pelicans50c875$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.5825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48d5…ea45backed Pelicans50c866$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd113…905dbacked Pelicans50c864$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c13…f4d8backed Pacers49c864$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5a9…4289backed Pelicans50c857$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bfc…e459backed Pelicans50c843$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dc7…cdb0backed Pelicans50c839$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf907…f3a0backed Pelicans50c821$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef25…5e66backed Pelicans50c821$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc970…e745backed Pelicans50c804$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d0…8853backed Pelicans50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x705c…6762backed Pelicans50c786$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf653…3e31backed Pelicans50c775$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5782…f844backed Pelicans50c768$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2f…7516backed Pacers50c757$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4de…8dddbacked Pacers50c750$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa991…77a5backed Pacers50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans47c734.29$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.14,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8c…023dbacked Pelicans50c722$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Pacers54c687.96$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.468961.8%55 W · 34 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Pelicans50c685.06$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.531,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Pelicans48c654.17$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31418031.7%57 W · 123 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c0…89bbbacked Pelicans50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Pelicans54c568$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.7252052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe952…bde4backed Pacers53c555$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.853461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans48c521.3$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.213,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Pelicans47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Pacers52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24032846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Pelicans47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Pelicans47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Pacers54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18416053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Pelicans45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18016945.6%77 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Pelicans51c377.81$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6923250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Pelicans27c370$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4635747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.