TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pacers (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pacers, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,797
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,762

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,797 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Pacers49c145,004$71,046 inWon+$73,958.3587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans51c90,712$46,263 inLost-$46,263.361,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans51c24,946$12,722 inLost-$12,722.463,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans50c17,260$8,651 inLost-$8,651.172,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans51c4,259$2,172 inLost-$2,171.979,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Pelicans53c4,010$2,125 inLost-$2,124.9774748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers66c2,863$1,892 inWon+$971.643,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Pelicans54c2,785$1,500 inLost-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Pelicans51c1,815$925 inLost-$925.441,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers54c917.58$500 inWon+$417.988,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans51c747.99$381 inLost-$381.482,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans52c618$321 inLost-$321.362,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Pelicans20c585$117 inLost-$11749938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Pelicans20c400$80 inLost-$8066645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Pelicans29c400$115 inLost-$11512947.3%61 W · 68 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Pelicans52c394.76$205 inLost-$205.2891050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Pacers47c378.92$178 inWon+$200.8353149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Pelicans33c300$99 inLost-$9916052.5%84 W · 76 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Pacers52c139.44$72 inWon+$67.0338347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Pelicans52c104.47$54 inLost-$54.3216658.4%97 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Pelicans37c100$37 inLost-$3710744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Pelicans53c94.34$50 inLost-$5021838.1%83 W · 135 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa59…ce19backed Pelicans54c92.59$50 inLost-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Pacers68c84.83$58 inWon+$26.841,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Pelicans26c84.02$22 inLost-$21.8888845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Pelicans20c65.89$13 inLost-$13.361,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Pelicans52c58.8$31 inLost-$30.5821243.4%92 W · 120 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Pelicans53c57.02$30 inLost-$29.9912062.5%75 W · 45 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3854…586abacked Pelicans63c47$30 inLost-$29.71758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Pelicans53c37.83$20 inLost-$2016546.1%76 W · 89 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Pelicans43c36.18$16 inLost-$15.624454.1%132 W · 112 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans42c31.5$13 inLost-$13.233,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x704f…0c8ebacked Pelicans54c27.98$15 inLost-$15.1120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Pelicans41c27.98$11 inLost-$11.4740035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70eb…635abacked Pelicans41c25.07$10 inLost-$10.341861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers46c23.48$11 inWon+$12.664,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.