TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pacers (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pacers, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$415,638
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$417,105

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $415,638 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Pacers52c248,827$129,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119,436.8887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Pelicans48c200,000$96,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,00054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans48c34,304$16,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,465.81,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Pelicans48c30,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,40051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Pacers52c24,248$12,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,638.8217646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans49c23,147$11,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,341.93,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Pacers50c19,811$9,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,905.5910949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pacers51c15,480$7,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,585.22,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pelicans50c14,211$7,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,105.591,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Pelicans50c11,833$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,90041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Pelicans48c11,111$5,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,333.2824554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Pelicans48c10,417$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pelicans48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9877348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers50c9,719$4,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,890.029,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Pacers51c7,143$3,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,500.1438750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Pelicans48c6,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8808742.5%37 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Pelicans50c5,240$2,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,617.4842648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc35…62debacked Pelicans50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Pacers50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Pacers52c3,955$2,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.9712056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Pacers52c3,077$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.9216335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Pelicans50c3,027$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Pelicans50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50015549.7%77 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Pelicans52c2,885$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.215855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers48c2,770$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.46,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Pelicans48c2,402$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15343453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Pelicans53c1,036$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54924051.3%123 W · 117 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Pelicans48c750$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3605954.2%32 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Pacers50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30021152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Pacers51c571$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.7964139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9d5…7153backed Pelicans49c428.57$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans48c413.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.432,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Pacers50c402$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2021,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Pelicans48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19259144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53c0…3f90backed Pelicans52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2082445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Pelicans48c399.99$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7484150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Pelicans50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011945.4%54 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Pelicans50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63ab…d322backed Pacers51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Pacers51c287.53$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.892759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Pacers50c279$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.520741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Pelicans48c274.94$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8568940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Pelicans48c267$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1650241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans28c238.49$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.078,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Pelicans53c207.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11036854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Pelicans50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Pelicans52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10490957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans46c198.46$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.655,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Pacers51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0822850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pacers50c137.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.193,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Pacers51c131.05$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2132952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2af0…8473backed Pelicans49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Pelicans51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Pelicans50c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…638abacked Pelicans53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e7c…d12fbacked Pacers57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.726735.8%24 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc81…e072backed Pacers52c87.69$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.091471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+50.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Pelicans48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe952…bde4backed Pacers51c79.04$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.733461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Pacers51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2252240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Pacers52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.924344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Pacers54c74.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.59458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Pelicans56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025058.4%146 W · 104 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Pelicans48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Pelicans49c61.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016942.6%72 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Pelicans49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024253.3%129 W · 113 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Pelicans49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.59953.5%53 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Pelicans49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.511256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans46c48.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.42,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Pacers53c46.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6352246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Pelicans49c41.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.11,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6606…a628backed Pacers51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Pelicans52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e71…e9cbbacked Pacers53c37.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.83757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers63c37.74$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.963,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Pacers52c37.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8421243.4%92 W · 120 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Pelicans47c36.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0116658.4%97 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Pelicans48c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3616852.4%88 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Pelicans37c31.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6940035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Pacers71c29.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7516669.9%116 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf6…801cbacked Pacers53c28.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.661136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Pacers50c27.82$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.781,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4105…1128backed Pelicans50c25.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.59771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+47.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans50c24.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.564,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Pacers51c22.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9832346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70eb…635abacked Pelicans50c21.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.511861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa08a…ad51backed Pelicans50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103060%18 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Pacers50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1037852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89a4…5f78backed Pelicans50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010053%53 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…a77bbacked Pacers51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.84040%16 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.