NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pacers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcdc96ea0d62bf2af087fa02d087d654dff425eff9d9959dabe577df220da669
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Pacers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $415,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $417,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $415,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pacers | 52c | 248,827$129,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,436.88 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Pelicans | 48c | 200,000$96,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,000 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans | 48c | 34,304$16,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,465.8 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pelicans | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Pacers | 52c | 24,248$12,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,638.82 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans | 49c | 23,147$11,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,341.9 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Pacers | 50c | 19,811$9,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,905.59 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pacers | 51c | 15,480$7,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,585.2 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pelicans | 50c | 14,211$7,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,105.59 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Pelicans | 50c | 11,833$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pelicans | 48c | 11,111$5,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,333.28 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Pelicans | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Pelicans | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.98 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 50c | 9,719$4,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,890.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Pacers | 51c | 7,143$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.14 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Pelicans | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Pelicans | 50c | 5,240$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.48 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc35…62debacked Pelicans | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Pacers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Pacers | 52c | 3,955$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.97 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Pacers | 52c | 3,077$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.92 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Pelicans | 50c | 3,027$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Pelicans | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Pelicans | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.2 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 48c | 2,770$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Pelicans | 48c | 2,402$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,036$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Pelicans | 48c | 750$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Pacers | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Pacers | 51c | 571$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.79 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d5…7153backed Pelicans | 49c | 428.57$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans | 48c | 413.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.43 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pacers | 50c | 402$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Pelicans | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…3f90backed Pelicans | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pelicans | 48c | 399.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.74 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Pelicans | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Pelicans | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…d322backed Pacers | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Pacers | 51c | 287.53$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.89 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Pacers | 50c | 279$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Pelicans | 48c | 274.94$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.85 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Pelicans | 48c | 267$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.16 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 28c | 238.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Pelicans | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Pelicans | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Pelicans | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 46c | 198.46$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Pacers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pacers | 50c | 137.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Pacers | 51c | 131.05$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…8473backed Pelicans | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Pelicans | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…638abacked Pelicans | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Pacers | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…e072backed Pacers | 52c | 87.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Pelicans | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Pacers | 51c | 79.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Pacers | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Pacers | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Pacers | 54c | 74.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Pelicans | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Pelicans | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Pelicans | 49c | 61.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Pelicans | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Pelicans | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Pelicans | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans | 46c | 48.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Pacers | 53c | 46.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Pelicans | 49c | 41.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…a628backed Pacers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Pelicans | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e71…e9cbbacked Pacers | 53c | 37.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 63c | 37.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Pacers | 52c | 37.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Pelicans | 47c | 36.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Pelicans | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Pelicans | 37c | 31.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Pacers | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf6…801cbacked Pacers | 53c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Pacers | 50c | 27.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4105…1128backed Pelicans | 50c | 25.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 50c | 24.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Pacers | 51c | 22.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70eb…635abacked Pelicans | 50c | 21.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa08a…ad51backed Pelicans | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Pacers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a4…5f78backed Pelicans | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…a77bbacked Pacers | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pacers (-4.5)this page
- Pelicans vs. PacersPacers won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: Pacers (-1.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-5.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.