NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa40e252081943daec6fa06524cc3075cc881ad70a7cd103aa2f680ac60032fa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 39c | 127,614$49,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,493.19 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 61c | 95,586$58,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,278.58 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 62c | 23,529$14,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,940.88 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3de…0235backed Over | 57c | 9,248$5,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945c…961ebacked Under | 42c | 9,206$3,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,866.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8e…94c6backed Under | 42c | 8,946$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,757.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…77a5backed Under | 43c | 8,556$3,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,668.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…8cfcbacked Over | 58c | 8,471$4,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,557.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…3955backed Over | 58c | 8,318$4,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54c…27adbacked Over | 58c | 8,130$4,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2f…7516backed Under | 42c | 7,644$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Over | 62c | 4,839$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.71 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +10.8wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf653…3e31backed Over | 58c | 4,332$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…023dbacked Under | 42c | 4,142$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Under | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.98 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 61c | 1,427$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.53 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 60c | 1,194$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.76 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 38c | 1,185$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.3 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe28f…be21backed Under | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 941.99$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Over | 62c | 395$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.1 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 37c | 317.46$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.46 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 31c | 292.11$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 69c | 289.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 38c | 211.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…a291backed Over | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 40c | 184.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Over | 62c | 179$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 226 | 46.9%106 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b61…78e8backed Under | 23c | 133.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 41c | 118.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 62c | 109.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Over | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 62c | 93.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 63c | 90.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 61c | 86.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed Over | 62c | 85.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 62c | 80.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Over | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Over | 62c | 67.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x414a…597ebacked Under | 40c | 62.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…a479backed Over | 60c | 54.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 23c | 52.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 40c | 52.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 62c | 51.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1285…2d0fbacked Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 62c | 46.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…6cabbacked Over | 62c | 44.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 38c | 39.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c8…52a7backed Over | 61c | 35.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…9635backed Over | 58c | 34.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0343…5475backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 62c | 27.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed Under | 40c | 25.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0791…b6c7backed Under | 44c | 24.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Over | 62c | 23.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Over | 64c | 22.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 62c | 21.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…35f3backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Over | 62c | 16.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5this page
- Pelicans vs. PacersPacers won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: Pacers (-1.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-5.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.