TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,709
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,577

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,709 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3888…79d3backed Over56c8,394$4,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,693.36425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb75d…5befbacked Under44c7,994$3,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,517.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf731…8f60backed Over56c7,940$4,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,493.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb8…b4c3backed Under44c7,540$3,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,317.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76b2…ff3cbacked Over56c7,352$4,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,234.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef25…5e66backed Under44c7,264$3,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,196.16425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0846…f70abacked Over56c7,264$4,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,196.16425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d0…8853backed Under44c7,052$3,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,102.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb26…bb0bbacked Under45c6,067$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,730.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc8…5100backed Under45c6,013$2,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,705.85683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+62.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa885…aa15backed Under45c5,600$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c5,228$2,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.532,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb62…f244backed Over55c5,200$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,340425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x897d…4753backed Over55c5,100$2,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,295425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ec…5045backed Over55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17b5…cb54backed Under45c4,700$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…5e91backed Under45c4,600$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,070742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48d5…ea45backed Under45c4,500$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4114…fc35backed Over55c4,100$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,845450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc970…e745backed Over56c3,504$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd8e…94c6backed Over56c3,336$1,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ac…5afabacked Over55c3,313$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd26…0dd6backed Over55c3,200$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d76…96cebacked Under45c3,200$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x705c…6762backed Over56c3,196$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6224…4cb6backed Over55c3,096$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945c…961ebacked Over56c3,064$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.16520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c2,462$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.443,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ceb…d8a6backed Over55c2,233$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.85771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c2,187$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.812,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf295…4761backed Over55c2,155$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e3…29b1backed Over55c2,036$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e5…0c26backed Over55c2,011$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under40c1,901$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.446,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb300…7ca8backed Over55c1,878$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdff…9e46backed Over55c1,767$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over60c1,447$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.712,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…d5c7backed Under45c1,284$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e22…d265backed Under45c1,172$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20bd…4c3dbacked Under45c1,119$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.55520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under44c1,100$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4842,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c1,081$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.281,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e76…db38backed Under45c1,035$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd113…905dbacked Over56c1,003$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bfc…e459backed Under44c1,003$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.32425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf907…f3a0backed Under44c902$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca8…0005backed Under45c896$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+58%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dc7…cdb0backed Under44c887$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.28616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d80…3996backed Under45c869$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.05683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+63.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa7a…4886backed Under44c867$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.48825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3de…0235backed Under44c854$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5a9…4289backed Under44c848$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54c…27adbacked Under44c845$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d5…e637backed Under44c828$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…3955backed Under44c827$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e3…8cfcbacked Under44c810$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65e8…3f45backed Under44c809$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8c…023dbacked Under44c792$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5782…f844backed Under44c789$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf653…3e31backed Under44c775$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4de…8dddbacked Under44c770$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c2f…7516backed Under44c757$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa991…77a5backed Under44c740$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over59c423$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.4320741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c246.5$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.519,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over76c227.84$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d78…d82ebacked Under22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under43c186.45$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.973,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Over60c121$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.46454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0791…b6c7backed Under12c120$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over80c117.54$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.658,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5280744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50aa…70ddbacked Over57c96.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.498760.9%53 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Under36c76.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.610840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under42c66.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.792,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under42c63.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6488845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e29…c992backed Under40c41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.45164.7%33 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Under46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a7…261bbacked Under40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x884c…851fbacked Over56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116232.3%20 W · 42 L-10.7wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x4844…9c83backed Over60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.