NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x457d7dfa408cdd78fe921e98311e88f21b5750ded0d581964f68a39097098957
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 8,501$4,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,354.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 4,617$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.87 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 51c | 4,182$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.98 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 3,481$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.08 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 50c | 2,962$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 50c | 2,560$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 54c | 1,871$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.53 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 54c | 1,744$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.4 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Under | 43c | 1,730$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.7 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 6c | 1,471$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 49c | 1,301$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.51 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc0…b72dbacked Under | 54c | 1,287$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 1,212$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 49c | 1,130$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.3 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 1,083$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 51c | 718$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.18 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 51c | 600$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.44 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 50c | 444$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Over | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 51c | 399.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…d081backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 52c | 350.54$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.28 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 319.23$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 5c | 280.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x53d7…0b48backed Under | 43c | 269.04$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa985…1ebfbacked Under | 52c | 201.83$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…c068backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…f42dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 52c | 192.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 27c | 187$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…d703backed Under | 47c | 151.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 51c | 127.09$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bab…c909backed Under | 52c | 103.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1a2dbacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 53c | 94.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…20c8backed Under | 52c | 94.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 88.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe833…1723backed Under | 50c | 71.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…5f54backed Under | 54c | 55.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…7c6bbacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Under | 39c | 48.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21ad…2dccbacked Under | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 300 | 44.3%133 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…18b9backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb1…9165backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414a…597ebacked Over | 55c | 29.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad48…4797backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 54c | 27.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa08a…ad51backed Under | 52c | 26.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Under | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 50c | 20.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…2e0cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e7…51d6backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Over | 77c | 15.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 241.5this page
- Pelicans vs. PacersPacers won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Pacers (-1.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-5.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.