TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc6c8…d7c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
299
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst Weather at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT24149.8%120 W · 121 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 241 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.07
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on April 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$23.75
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+149.9%+$53.4
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.81
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+102%+$11.63
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$28.87
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.66
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$14.04
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$10.09
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.2
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$27.75
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$12.57
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.54
Showing 25 of 241 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$55.01
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+143.9%+$318.6
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$230.4
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.09
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.12
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+45.6%+$6.9
Hornets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.1%+$11.11
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$6.72
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.55
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+41.9%+$7.58
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35.93
Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+130.4%+$18.98
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+88.1%+$21.65
Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+104.1%+$10.62
Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.11
Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19.52
Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$29.51
Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+92.5%+$92.59
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.64
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28.6
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+112.8%+$74.72
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+138.1%+$55.1
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$37.69
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.2
Maple Leafs vs. Jetsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.8
Ducks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+79.6%+$12.13
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.47
Sharks vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$13.4
Flames vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.75
Oilers vs. Predatorsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$51.94
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.32
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+88.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Houston Christian Huskiesbacked Houston Christian Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$48.23
Toledo Rockets vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Wichita State Shockers vs. South Florida Bullsbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+344.7%+$68.92
Buffalo Bulls vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
Chattanooga Mocs vs. Western Carolina Catamountsbacked Chattanooga Mocs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+525%+$54.19
Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence Friarsbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+121.7%+$22.4
Drake Bulldogs vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$18.75
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Saint Joseph's Hawksbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.52
VCU Rams vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.76
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-55.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.13
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25.14
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+34.1%+$15.46
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.7
VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+116.1%+$43.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+97.2%+$17.74
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs MASONIC (BO3)backed AaB esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beijing Ducks vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.