NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ba273f14c03dc82d15ed6f6c694300ee327960a0968419394df0ed9b82df3e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Sharks, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,742,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,786,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,742,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 852 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Sharks | 41c | 589,211$240,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240,448.3 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Sharks | 38c | 392,241$149,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,113.96 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Red Wings | 59c | 228,533$134,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,661.89 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Red Wings | 62c | 210,526$130,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,999.88 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Red Wings | 61c | 204,968$125,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,686.13 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings | 59c | 173,292$102,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,719.77 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Red Wings | 60c | 100,000$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Sharks | 39c | 41,294$16,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,104.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Red Wings | 63c | 41,000$25,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,349.99 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Sharks | 39c | 40,763$15,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,971.7 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Red Wings | 62c | 28,050$17,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,659 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 62c | 26,242$16,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,038.23 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Sharks | 42c | 25,333$10,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,639.94 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Red Wings | 59c | 24,698$14,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,126.23 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Red Wings | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Sharks | 36c | 16,458$5,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,924.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Red Wings | 59c | 15,555$9,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,377.55 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Red Wings | 58c | 15,045$8,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,304.56 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Sharks | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Sharks | 39c | 14,682$5,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,726.12 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Red Wings | 62c | 13,290$8,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,050.2 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Red Wings | 62c | 13,000$7,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,004.66 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Sharks | 38c | 11,851$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…df78backed Red Wings | 76c | 11,218$8,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.84 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -13.5wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Red Wings | 74c | 11,111$8,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.36 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Sharks | 38c | 10,194$3,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,873.87 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Sharks | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Red Wings | 62c | 9,780$6,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,716.4 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Red Wings | 62c | 9,604$5,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,632.27 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Red Wings | 62c | 9,451$5,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sharks | 38c | 9,201$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,459.77 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked Red Wings | 66c | 8,579$5,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sharks | 38c | 8,524$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.2 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Red Wings | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.72 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Red Wings | 61c | 7,771$4,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.83 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Sharks | 38c | 6,998$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.27 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Red Wings | 61c | 6,777$4,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.68 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Red Wings | 62c | 6,529$4,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.03 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Red Wings | 61c | 6,504$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.49 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sharks | 36c | 6,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Red Wings | 62c | 6,258$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.04 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Sharks | 37c | 6,195$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.02 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sharks | 34c | 6,166$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.91 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sharks | 35c | 6,083$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.85 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Red Wings | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sharks | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Red Wings | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Red Wings | 63c | 5,645$3,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.41 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sharks | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Red Wings | 62c | 5,393$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.77 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Sharks | 39c | 5,119$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.29 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…58eabacked Red Wings | 62c | 5,110$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.68 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Red Wings | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Sharks | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Sharks | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sharks | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.94 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Red Wings | 69c | 4,983$3,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.36 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Red Wings | 69c | 4,669$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.72 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Red Wings | 60c | 4,532$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.8 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Sharks | 35c | 4,444$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.48 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Sharks | 30c | 4,159$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.25 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…74b3backed Red Wings | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sharks | 20c | 3,841$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.02 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…ee32backed Sharks | 39c | 3,834$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.23 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Sharks | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Red Wings | 62c | 3,558$2,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.79 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sharks | 38c | 3,405$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.47 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Red Wings | 60c | 3,343$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.56 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Sharks | 30c | 3,244$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.08 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sharks | 39c | 3,097$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.86 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Sharks | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Red Wings | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Wings | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…754bbacked Sharks | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Red Wings | 73c | 2,972$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.57 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Red Wings | 61c | 2,925$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.67 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Red Wings | 62c | 2,874$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.19 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Red Wings | 75c | 2,870$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.66 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Red Wings | 62c | 2,710$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Sharks | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Red Wings | 60c | 2,689$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.76 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Sharks | 38c | 2,641$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Red Wings | 61c | 2,585$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.85 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Sharks | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Red Wings | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Sharks | 37c | 2,500$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.43 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings | 64c | 2,306$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.74 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Red Wings | 62c | 2,300$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.22 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Red Wings | 59c | 2,258$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.46 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Red Wings | 65c | 2,137$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.5 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Sharks | 1c | 2,091$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Sharks | 28c | 2,022$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.06 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Red Wings | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Wings | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Red Wings | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Red Wings | 62c | 1,998$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.24 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed Red Wings | 62c | 1,970$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.03 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Red Wings | 65c | 1,960$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Sharks | 39c | 1,923$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Sharks vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.