TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe9ea…ee32

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NFL, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 63 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+143.9%+$215.85
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+104.1%+$312.27
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100%+$200
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+669.2%+$175.27
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+809.1%+$202.27
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+127.3%+$159.09
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+316.7%+$158.33
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+138.1%+$89.76
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$48.57
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,495.23
Islanders vs. Oilersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+150%+$565.02
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$326.09
Islanders vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,250
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Kings vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$158.77
Senators vs. Avalanchebacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Oilers vs. Jetsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+93.7%+$234.18
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Flames vs. Bruinsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Flames vs. Canadiensbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Stars vs. Capitalsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$156.12
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Canucks vs. Sabresbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$165
Stars vs. Hurricanesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Utah vs. Rangersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$144.12
Ducks vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Hurricanes vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Avalanche vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$120.24
Canadiens vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$122.22
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.42per pick38cpaid+104%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+117.4%+$176.09
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$101.49
Spread: Bengals (-7.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+117.4%+$70.43
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+132.8%+$66.4
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$88.89
Jets vs. Billsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+354.5%+$106.36
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$111
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+127.3%+$15.63
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+79.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+163.2%+$163.16
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$69.23
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$92.86
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+185.7%+$139.29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+194.1%+$99.45
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+194.1%+$116.47
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$70
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick26cpaid+89.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+104.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50.64
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+56.5%+$56.45
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$29
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$799.77
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5)backed 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$141.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,698.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+1,698.4%+$295.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+100%+$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$38.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$37.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cádiz CF win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.