NFL · resolved market
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54f4124d13d7baf8698d19e57a3c45e2b6da1924b86323dccfa114598737b81a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Steelersof Ravens, Steelers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,351,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,497,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,351,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 381 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Steelers | 49c | 2,227,986$1,091,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136,580.49 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Ravens | 51c | 1,296,170$664,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664,997.53 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…0af8backed Ravens | 51c | 460,373$234,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234,790.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Ravens | 51c | 320,000$163,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163,200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Ravens | 50c | 195,172$97,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,586 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Ravens | 51c | 189,216$96,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,500 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Steelers | 47c | 148,936$70,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,936.17 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Ravens | 52c | 80,000$41,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,600 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Ravens | 50c | 78,093$39,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,227.2 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Steelers | 45c | 60,478$27,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,263.14 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Ravens | 50c | 57,777$28,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,888.5 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Steelers | 51c | 42,895$21,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,042.68 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Steelers | 51c | 40,020$20,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,609.8 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Steelers | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,400 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Steelers | 52c | 38,462$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,461.54 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Steelers | 48c | 31,589$15,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,578.26 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Steelers | 48c | 29,612$14,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,517.1 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Ravens | 50c | 26,121$13,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,060.41 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Steelers | 52c | 25,202$13,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,096.96 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Ravens | 50c | 22,500$11,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,295 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Steelers | 49c | 17,154$8,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,818.63 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Ravens | 55c | 16,578$9,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,117.97 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ravens | 46c | 16,069$7,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,341.35 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Steelers | 47c | 15,896$7,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,383.84 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Steelers | 47c | 14,840$6,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,865.43 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ravens | 53c | 11,555$6,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,075.23 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Ravens | 26c | 11,005$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825.92 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Ravens | 51c | 10,824$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,520 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Ravens | 51c | 10,294$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Steelers | 47c | 10,183$4,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,431.17 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Ravens | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Ravens | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Steelers | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Steelers | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.97 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Ravens | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Steelers | 51c | 8,633$4,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,242.12 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Steelers | 52c | 8,500$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Steelers | 51c | 8,398$4,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.23 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Steelers | 51c | 8,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Ravens | 51c | 8,000$4,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,119.99 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Ravens | 50c | 7,545$3,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,772.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Ravens | 48c | 7,435$3,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,568.56 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf77…bae9backed Ravens | 55c | 7,407$4,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,090 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 53cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Ravens | 52c | 7,300$3,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,796 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Ravens | 57c | 7,038$4,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.95 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Ravens | 55c | 6,540$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,597 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Ravens | 54c | 6,535$3,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,528.9 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Steelers | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.74 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Steelers | 47c | 6,500$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.99 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Steelers | 50c | 6,000$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Ravens | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Ravens | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Steelers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…9d9ebacked Ravens | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…0262backed Ravens | 51c | 4,900$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Steelers | 47c | 4,619$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.56 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Ravens | 55c | 4,584$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Ravens | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Steelers | 48c | 4,000$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Ravens | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ravens | 54c | 3,301$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.37 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Steelers | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Steelers | 48c | 3,101$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.02 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Ravens | 50c | 3,029$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.41 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Ravens | 48c | 2,876$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.15 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Steelers | 51c | 2,680$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.47 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Steelers | 51c | 2,642$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.61 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Ravens | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Steelers | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.97 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0b5fbacked Ravens | 55c | 2,364$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Ravens | 52c | 2,327$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Steelers | 51c | 2,305$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.41 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Steelers | 52c | 2,220$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.37 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Steelers | 46c | 2,100$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Steelers | 49c | 2,073$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.79 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…efd2backed Steelers | 50c | 2,054$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.08 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Steelers | 49c | 2,012$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.05 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Ravens | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Ravens | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Steelers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Ravens | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Steelers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Ravens | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Steelers | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Ravens | 50c | 1,952$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.87 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Ravens | 55c | 1,872$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.84 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Ravens | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…59fabacked Steelers | 46c | 1,798$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.04 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Ravens | 53c | 1,750$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.64 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bc94backed Steelers | 47c | 1,607$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.31 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…0da8backed Ravens | 49c | 1,605$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.73 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Ravens | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Steelers | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Ravens | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Ravens | 51c | 1,438$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Ravens | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc719…2487backed Steelers | 45c | 1,384$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Ravens | 50c | 1,338$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Ravens | 50c | 1,293$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.45 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d28…a73cbacked Ravens | 61c | 1,252$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.06 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ravens (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Ravens (-2.5)Ravens won
- Ravens vs. SteelersSteelers won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: 1H MoneylineRavens won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 32.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 36.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 37.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 39.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 40.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 43.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 44.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: Ravens (-10.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Ravens (-2.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Ravens (-4.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Ravens (-6.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Ravens (-7.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Ravens (-8.5)Steelers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.