NFL · resolved market
Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96369182b990a168cc069628c1f9f86e6e5300b9c3763ca28eda0af002a904bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $839,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $842,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $839,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 365,845$185,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180,050.34 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 49c | 127,807$62,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,547.21 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Over | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Over | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,000 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 49c | 91,837$45,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,000 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.3wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Under | 49c | 83,950$41,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,135.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 48c | 17,754$8,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,522.12 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 48c | 17,291$8,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,299.44 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 48c | 12,057$5,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,840.87 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900.38 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 53c | 8,726$4,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,622.18 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Under | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Over | 52c | 7,695$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,695.38 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Under | 48c | 7,245$3,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,477.6 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…d3eabacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 4,094$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.06 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Under | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.78 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…892cbacked Under | 50c | 3,232$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Under | 49c | 2,980$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8e…6975backed Over | 48c | 2,879$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c26…d2f4backed Under | 52c | 2,853$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Under | 49c | 2,685$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.83 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 6c | 2,493$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.61 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa13f…3b85backed Over | 48c | 2,403$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200a…8dabbacked Under | 52c | 2,385$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc577…50a4backed Over | 48c | 2,117$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…11edbacked Under | 52c | 2,108$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 2,096$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.17 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4f…8bbabacked Over | 48c | 2,001$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50b…a525backed Under | 52c | 1,938$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Over | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 1,193$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.54 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 1,032$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.85 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 959.15$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Over | 52c | 896.15$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.15 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Under | 49c | 726.61$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.91 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…3437backed Under | 52c | 643.93$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 626.35$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.18 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Under | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 48c | 569.64$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.42 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Over | 51c | 561.46$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.78 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bff…6417backed Over | 48c | 527.35$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -8.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 9.3%5 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 464.12$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.78 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed Under | 49c | 444.9$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Under | 48c | 385.59$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Over | 52c | 370$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d5…fcb2backed Over | 52c | 335.96$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 52c | 320$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.1 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Under | 4c | 305.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Under | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 62c | 298.81$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.58 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 54c | 298.18$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.18 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Under | 50c | 278.92$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x522b…5160backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 49c | 150$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed21…a2a1backed Under | 53c | 141.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 133.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b7…fa4bbacked Under | 54c | 132.37$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…1ed0backed Under | 49c | 131.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 52c | 126.03$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 52c | 125.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 47c | 116.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fadabacked Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…6d5cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5this page
- 1H Spread: Ravens (-2.5)Ravens won
- Ravens vs. SteelersSteelers won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: 1H MoneylineRavens won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 32.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 36.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 37.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 39.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 40.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 43.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 44.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: Ravens (-10.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Ravens (-2.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Ravens (-3.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Ravens (-4.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Ravens (-6.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Ravens (-7.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Ravens (-8.5)Steelers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.