TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,127 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Over48c103,462$49,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,811.8586547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under52c88,856$46,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,204.892441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e25…0af8backed Under52c54,261$28,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,215.731136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over48c20,782$9,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,806.6453253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c11,871$5,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,172.9256852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20013560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Under52c6,731$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50010648.1%51 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Under56c6,457$3,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,615.9217647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c4,494$2,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,291.8975852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Over48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.6712343.1%53 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.633844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59036246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x591e…4fb1backed Under55c2,633$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb35f…99c3backed Over45c2,606$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+146.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over47c2,500$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32519240.1%77 W · 115 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4963…9357backed Under55c2,266$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under53c2,250$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.53148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe82c…411dbacked Over45c2,204$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x649e…2413backed Under55c2,026$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04010156.4%57 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa05f…0267backed Over45c1,963$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x253f…67fbbacked Under55c1,902$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab5…f221backed Over45c1,755$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c1,521$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.9639447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Under53c1,400$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74211759.8%70 W · 47 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over43c1,030$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.181,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c1,002$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.677052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Over44c978$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.687143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41613959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Under53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010548.6%51 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf89f…b84abacked Over45c727.43$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over44c612$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.7219152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under52c499.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26026648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe36b…095dbacked Under57c466.67$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2662040%8 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+65%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ca…0ff6backed Under55c428.31$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under53c420$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.68345.8%38 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.46663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+30.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20820555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under58c350.92$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.597052.9%37 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15616957.4%97 W · 72 L+15.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13010752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over48c240$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.811758.1%68 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over48c240$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.811859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c201.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.461,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over48c197.83$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1765048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.612057.5%69 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.610958.7%64 W · 45 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.611265.2%73 W · 39 L+16.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.616360.1%98 W · 65 L+16.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over48c160$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.210461.5%64 W · 40 L+12.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over48c130$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.611856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.415453.9%83 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.46752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.410155.4%56 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.46755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.412356.9%70 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.411058.2%64 W · 46 L+11.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.410359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.49757.7%56 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.411056.4%62 W · 48 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.415556.8%88 W · 67 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+60.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5217459.2%103 W · 71 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over48c86.86$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8620354.7%111 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.610964.2%70 W · 39 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over48c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.410761.7%66 W · 41 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over49c67.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.345556.4%31 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.213357.1%76 W · 57 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.29659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.212459.7%74 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.211658.6%68 W · 48 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.210464.4%67 W · 37 L+15.3wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.212458.1%72 W · 52 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.210361.2%63 W · 40 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.210565.7%69 W · 36 L+16.6wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.29162.6%57 W · 34 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.29164.8%59 W · 32 L+12.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.211463.2%72 W · 42 L+14.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.210161.4%62 W · 39 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.210864.8%70 W · 38 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.211552.2%60 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.210757.9%62 W · 45 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.29862.2%61 W · 37 L+11.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.210861.1%66 W · 42 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Under52c59.35$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.861662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Over48c50.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.313256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1725…7405backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over49c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.324259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Under52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.68451.2%43 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under51c29.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1420944.5%93 W · 116 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over48c28.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.026558.5%38 W · 27 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over48c28.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8913449.3%66 W · 68 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b23…39fdbacked Under52c20.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.921838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over48c20.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9230442.4%129 W · 175 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.