NFL · resolved market
Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 40.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22fb189df4af14c0c562c6f0f9dc063d163832b180592292e27d58f8f7ca5564
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Over | 52c | 25,005$13,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,002.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 53c | 22,208$11,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,410.82 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 12,006$5,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,679.21 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Under | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.99 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 50c | 8,447$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,223.5 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 5,082$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.9 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 45c | 4,710$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.5 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 4,077$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.21 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 3,022$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.56 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Under | 52c | 2,286$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 2,236$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.59 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Under | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 9c | 1,666$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Under | 7c | 1,300$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…fe28backed Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 999.29$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.94 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 47c | 898$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.94 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 8c | 799.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 54 | 9.3%5 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Under | 13c | 700$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 688$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 55c | 633.45$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.2 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 62c | 600$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.7 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 551$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.01 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 49c | 420$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 56c | 373$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.12 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 65c | 369.81$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.08 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bc94backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Over | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 54c | 260$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 47c | 218.34$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 45c | 211.23$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Under | 6c | 203.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…269fbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Under | 43c | 179.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 49c | 152.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Over | 33c | 151.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.28 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 116.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 49c | 104$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…dd84backed Over | 52c | 84.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 45c | 81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…253cbacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 48c | 72.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Under | 49c | 68.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 59c | 65.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c27…b3c6backed Over | 55c | 63.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +15.3wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +16.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +14.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 46c | 55.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…7c7ebacked Over | 55c | 54.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…adbebacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e3…6548backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Over | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 48c | 30.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Under | 42c | 30.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 40.5this page
- 1H Spread: Ravens (-2.5)Ravens won
- Ravens vs. SteelersSteelers won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: 1H MoneylineRavens won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 32.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 36.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 37.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 39.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 43.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 44.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: Ravens (-10.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Ravens (-2.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Ravens (-3.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Ravens (-4.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Ravens (-6.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Ravens (-7.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Ravens (-8.5)Steelers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.